Miami @ San Francisco Picks & Props

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate. Adam Oller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Heliot Ramos has had some very good luck given the .035 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Connor Norby will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Casey Schmitt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Casey Schmitt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph figure. There has been a significant improvement in Casey Schmitt's launch angle from last season's 14.9° to 19.8° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Fitzgerald will hold that advantage in today's game. With a .383 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald has performed in the 96th percentile.

Jonah Bride is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Jonah Bride will have an advantage in today's game. Jonah Bride has posted a .326 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 76th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Jake Burger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. David Hensley will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. David Hensley has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.256) provides evidence that David Hensley has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .216 actual wOBA.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Derek Hill has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Derek Hill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Cristian Pache will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell in today's game. Cristian Pache has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Cristian Pache's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.43 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Vidal Brujan has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the past 14 days, Vidal Brujan's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.5-mph over the course of the season to 92.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage today. Thairo Estrada's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 40.9% on the season to 60% in the past week's worth of games. Thairo Estrada has been unlucky this year, notching a .255 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .038 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Nick Fortes will have an edge today. Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year, compiling a .236 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .269 — a .033 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Grant McCray will have an advantage today.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Oracle Park. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Otto Lopez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Otto Lopez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Adam Oller throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Ali Sanchez has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.