Toronto @ Boston Picks & Props
TOR vs BOS Picks
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TOR vs BOS Consensus Picks
62% picking Boston
Total PicksTOR 228, BOS 374
68% picking Toronto vs Boston to go Over
Total PicksTOR 261, BOS 123
TOR vs BOS Props
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Given Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's game.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Cooper Criswell will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split. George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Jarren Duran has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.2°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-9.5°) over the last 14 days.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
Ernie Clement is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Cooper Criswell will have the handedness advantage against Ernie Clement in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Criswell's large platoon split.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense. This contest is predicted to have the 2nd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers. Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Spencer Horwitz has been lucky this year, notching a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .016 gap.
Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Connor Wong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Connor Wong has notched a .345 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.
Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Masataka Yoshida will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Will Wagner Total Hits Props • Toronto
Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Because of Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Will Wagner will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Will Wagner is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Romy Gonzalez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Using Statcast metrics, Romy Gonzalez grades out in the 96th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .294.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Cooper Criswell's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Daulton Varsho is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.
Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Yariel Rodriguez in today's game. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell today... and the cherry on top, Criswell has a large platoon split. Joey Loperfido has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox has just 1 same-handed RP. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto
Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Cooper Criswell in today's game... and even more favorably, Criswell has a large platoon split. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler O'Neill will hold that advantage in today's game.
Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston
Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. The shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ceddanne Rafaela has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 91.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for righty base hits. Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (22.5°) is considerably better than his 19.5° mark last year. Danny Jansen has shown good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 90th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.
David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston
David Hamilton is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest RF fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. David Hamilton will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.
Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park grades out as the #6 field in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
TOR vs BOS Trends
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.95 Units / 37% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.35 Units / -32% ROI)
Boston Trends
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 60 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.55 Units / 17% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 72 of their last 131 games (+5.45 Units / 3% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 121 games (-29.00 Units / -18% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 128 games (-26.45 Units / -18% ROI)
The Boston Red Sox have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 128 games (-20.90 Units / -14% ROI)
TOR vs BOS Top User Picks
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||
Boston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dispnum1 | 5-5-0 | +16630 |
| 2 | stakay125 | 7-3-0 | +16380 |
| 3 | Jackson2399 | 6-4-0 | +15369 |
| 4 | regger22 | 8-2-0 | +14785 |
| 5 | Andrew333_ | 7-3-0 | +13995 |
| 6 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +13785 |
| 7 | Shitman | 8-2-0 | +13440 |
| 8 | Coakley | 7-3-0 | +12975 |
| 9 | Sandsaver727 | 3-7-0 | +12835 |
| 10 | TheTotalMan | 9-1-0 | +12815 |
| All Red Sox Money Leaders | |||