Colorado @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. With a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Giancarlo Stanton has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 21st percentile.

Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.9-mph average last year has dropped to 90.3-mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gleyber Torres's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 90.3 mph to 84.3 mph.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s 11.1% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) is in the 77th percentile this year.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game. Juan Soto has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last season to 20.5% this season.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Brenton Doyle has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Alex Verdugo will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Alex Verdugo has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .227 BA is deflated compared to his .264 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Alex Verdugo has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 84th percentile with a 1.79 K/BB rate.

Yankee Stadium projects as the #25 venue in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences in the league. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aaron Judge's true offensive talent to be a .429, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .054 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .483 wOBA.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Drew Romo pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Nolan Jones will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today. Nolan Jones has been unlucky this year, notching a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .313 — a .040 discrepancy.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Michael Toglia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today. Michael Toglia has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 91-mph figure. In the last 7 days, Michael Toglia's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jake Cave will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, DJ LeMahieu will have an edge in today's game. DJ LeMahieu has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and DJ LeMahieu will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today. There has been a significant improvement in Ezequiel Tovar's launch angle from last year's 12.3° to 18.7° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team playing today. In the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers's 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.9%.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Jacob Stallings has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of every team playing today. Jacob Stallings has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days. Posting a .331 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jacob Stallings has performed in the 80th percentile.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage today. Jose Trevino will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Jose Trevino has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph EV. Jose Trevino has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Anthony Volpe will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Sam Hilliard has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.