Houston @ Baltimore Picks & Props
HOU vs BAL Picks
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HOU vs BAL Props
Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan O'Hearn will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Ryan O'Hearn's 55% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.1%.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Hitting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Yainer Diaz will be in a tough position today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.7%. Yainer Diaz has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.97 K/BB rate.
Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Over the last week, Ryan Mountcastle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 93.7 mph to 87.5 mph. As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle's talent is quite bad, sporting a 3.87 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 19th percentile.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's LF dimensions are the deepest. Hitting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Jeremy Pena will not have the upper hand today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jeremy Pena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 80.1-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent. The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Colton Cowser has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.7-mph.
Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Jackson Holliday Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Jackson Holliday has been unlucky this year with his .248 actual wOBA.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
Hitting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Alex Bregman encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman today. Over the last week, Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 84.2 mph. In notching a .270 BABIP this year, Alex Bregman has performed in the 21st percentile.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Albert Suarez today.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Albert Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. In the past week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Ben Gamel Total Hits Props • Houston
The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's right field dimensions are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ben Gamel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez in today's matchup.
Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Framber Valdez.
Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bats such as Anthony Santander with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Framber Valdez who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Meyers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 91.3-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past week's worth of games, Jake Meyers's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.
Ramón Urías Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Ramon Urias will have an edge in today's game. Ramon Urias has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Victor Caratini Total Hits Props • Houston
The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Victor Caratini's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.2°) is a considerable increase over his 4.7° figure last year. Victor Caratini has put up a .281 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Shay Whitcomb Total Hits Props • Houston
Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Over the last week, Shay Whitcomb has displayed impressive power, recording a a 20% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power). In the last week's worth of games, Shay Whitcomb has averaged an impressive 103.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. In the past week, Shay Whitcomb's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
Mauricio Dubon's batting average ability is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mauricio Dubon has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Mauricio Dubon has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Baltimore
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand today.
Austin Slater Total Hits Props • Baltimore
When estimating his BABIP talent, Austin Slater is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Slater will hold the platoon advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Baltimore
Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #7 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge in today's matchup. Emmanuel Rivera has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jon Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston
Jon Singleton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #7 field in the game for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage today. Jon Singleton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
HOU vs BAL Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 70 games (+13.85 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 away games (+8.45 Units / 54% ROI)
The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 76% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 127 games (-29.65 Units / -21% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 116 games (-18.35 Units / -13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 92 games (-16.95 Units / -16% ROI)
Baltimore Trends
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Run Line in 71 of their last 130 games (+21.30 Units / 14% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 66 of their last 115 games (+8.85 Units / 6% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+5.35 Units / 9% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 83 games (-20.70 Units / -23% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (-15.20 Units / -19% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 17 games (-7.25 Units / -34% ROI)
The Baltimore Orioles have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 8 games (-4.80 Units / -47% ROI)
HOU vs BAL Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Baltimore Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +31435 |
| 2 | stumpmaker | 4-5-1 | +24450 |
| 3 | reddog6008 | 7-2-1 | +20117 |
| 4 | coach_d5 | 7-3-0 | +18885 |
| 5 | jnc3lb | 5-5-0 | +16895 |
| 6 | mccabe40 | 3-7-0 | +16810 |
| 7 | MLBFan8848 | 5-5-0 | +16285 |
| 8 | R_MUNDO | 4-6-0 | +16065 |
| 9 | Enelra18 | 4-5-1 | +15445 |
| 10 | Queefs4 | 5-4-1 | +15185 |
| All Orioles Money Leaders | |||