Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Starling Marte will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game. Starling Marte has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, J.D. Martinez encounters a tough challenge in today's game. J.D. Martinez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #1 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams playing today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Hitting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Pete Alonso will not have the upper hand in today's game. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Pete Alonso will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Gunnar Henderson has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Gunnar Henderson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Zach Eflin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Harrison Bader in today's game. Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.4% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past 7 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Sean Manaea. Adley Rutschman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Mark Vientos will have a disadvantage today. Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Zach Eflin will have the handedness advantage against Luis Torrens today. Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Manaea today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Ramon Urias has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week. Ramon Urias has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. Jackson Holliday has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Ryan Mountcastle's batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan Mountcastle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Ryan Mountcastle will have the handedness advantage against Sean Manaea today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Anthony Santander will get to bat from his better side against Sean Manaea in today's matchup. Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. There has been a significant improvement in Anthony Santander's launch angle from last season's 20° to 23.3° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 19th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Colton Cowser has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP. Colton Cowser has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Colton Cowser's average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90.9-mph seasonal average has decreased to 88.4-mph over the last week.

Eloy Jimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Eloy Jimenez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets. Eloy Jimenez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 94.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Zach Eflin will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Iglesias today. Jose Iglesias will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Posting a .299 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Jose Iglesias grades out in the 96th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Sean Manaea throws from, Austin Slater will have an advantage in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the New York Mets.