Seattle @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

In today's matchup, Victor Robles is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.4% rate (94th percentile). Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Robles in today's matchup. Victor Robles has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Victor Robles has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 81.7-mph over the last two weeks.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael A. Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) suggests that Michael A. Taylor has been unlucky this year with his .255 actual wOBA.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for home runs. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Randy Arozarena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences in the league — generally bad for home runs. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 87.4-mph in the past week. Julio Rodriguez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, falling from 41.4% on the season to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Joey Bart has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today's game. Joey Bart has notched a .373 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Jared Triolo's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jared Triolo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .250 mark is deflated compared to his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage today.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .039 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Ji Hwan Bae is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Castillo in today's matchup... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ji Hwan Bae can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Luis Castillo... and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Considering Luis Castillo's large platoon split, Rowdy Tellez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mitch Garver will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter today. Mitch Garver has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last year's 91.4-mph EV. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Garver's true offensive talent to be a .314, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .036 disparity between that figure and his actual .278 wOBA.

Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Raleigh has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17.2% seasonal rate to 23.8% in the last two weeks. Cal Raleigh's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.1-mph now compared to just 89.6-mph then.

Justin Turner is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter today. Over the last week, Justin Turner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.1% up to 16.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In the past 7 days, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 18.2%.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Dylan Moore will have an advantage in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Dylan Moore has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 31.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 17.3°. Dylan Moore has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .202 figure is quite a bit lower than his .222 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mitch Haniger will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Falter today. In the last 14 days, Mitch Haniger's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph lately. Despite posting a .280 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has experienced some negative variance given the .032 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Leonardo Rivas will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Bailey Falter. Leonardo Rivas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.5-mph average.