Colorado @ Arizona Picks & Props

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Joc Pederson has been pinch hit for 23% of the time. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest RF fences in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joc Pederson has experienced some positive variance given the .047 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. Brenton Doyle has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brenton Doyle in today's game. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, compiling a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .038 gap. When it comes to plate discipline, Brenton Doyle's talent is quite bad, putting up a 3.81 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, putting up a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .057 deviation.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .323 rate is a fair amount higher than his .302 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. When it comes to plate discipline, Brendan Rodgers's talent is quite poor, sporting a 3.99 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 19th percentile.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. Batting from the same side that Tanner Gordon throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 88.3-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.5-mph over the last two weeks.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. Ezequiel Tovar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Ezequiel Tovar has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph dropping to 84.7-mph over the last week. Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .323 figure is a good deal higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. In the past week's worth of games, Sam Hilliard's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.6% up to 22.2%. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Sam Hilliard has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the past two weeks. Placing in the 75th percentile, Sam Hilliard has posted a .322 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Over the last two weeks, Ryan McMahon's 26.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.3%.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in Major League Baseball. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the least humid conditions on the schedule today at 32%. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team playing today. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.5% to 9%. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 34.6% on the season to 25.7% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 21st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Montgomery will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Blackmon in today's game. Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Among every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Charlie Blackmon in today's matchup.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Geraldo Perdomo has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.5% seasonal rate to 15.6% over the last 14 days. In the last 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph of late.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 park in the league for LHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Gordon throws from, Adrian Del Castillo will have an advantage in today's game. Adrian Del Castillo is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game considering none of the available options for the Colorado Rockies share his handedness. Adrian Del Castillo will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Aaron Schunk will have the upper hand today.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Kevin Newman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kevin Newman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 87.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 85.7-mph mark. In notching a .271 batting average this year, Kevin Newman is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Hunter Goodman will hold the platoon advantage over Jordan Montgomery in today's game. Hunter Goodman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .182 BA is a good deal lower than his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. This year, Hunter Goodman's 11.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 80th percentile among his peers.

Jacob Stallings has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jacob Stallings will have an edge today. Jacob Stallings's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (16.3°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° mark last year.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Eugenio Suarez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (21.6° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 17.8° seasonal figure.

Michael Toglia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to better offense. Michael Toglia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.2-mph average to last season's 91-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.2°, Michael Toglia has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.2° figure over the last two weeks.