Kansas City @ Minnesota Picks & Props
KC vs MIN Picks
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KC vs MIN Consensus Picks
61% picking Kansas City
Total PicksKC 237, MIN 150
KC vs MIN Props
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's game. Trevor Larnach has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.9-mph to 95.1-mph in the last 7 days.
Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Today, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league's 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (76th percentile). Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Vinnie Pasquantino's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.5 mph to 83.5 mph.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Among all major league parks, Target Field's centerfield fences are the 10th-deepest. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Hitting from the same side that Louie Varland throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. faces a tough challenge today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Royce Lewis will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph to 89.7-mph in the last 7 days.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Cole Ragans in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Hunter Renfroe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 96.4-mph lately.
Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Last season, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22°. Paul DeJong's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (32.8° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 22° seasonal figure.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Austin Martin will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Austin Martin's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (14° over the last week) is considerably higher than his 10.9° seasonal angle.
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Freddy Fermin's launch angle lately (50.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 12.7° seasonal figure. Freddy Fermin has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 90th percentile.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Louie Varland throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Adam Frazier has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .194 mark is considerably lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Louie Varland in today's game. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. In terms of his batting average, MJ Melendez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .202 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. Salvador Perez's launch angle this season (19°) is a significant increase over his 15.3° mark last year.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Miranda is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Miranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Manuel Margot's batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manuel Margot is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Manuel Margot will have an advantage today. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Louie Varland throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the weakest among every team on the slate today. In the past 7 days, Kyle Isbel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph lately.
Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cole Ragans throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an advantage in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Kyle Farmer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Kyle Farmer's launch angle from last season's 13° to 16.7° this season.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's game. Max Kepler has posted a .321 BABIP this year, grading out in the 77th percentile.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Byron Buxton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cole Ragans today. Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Byron Buxton has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 14.4% to 42.1%.
KC vs MIN Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 56% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 65 of their last 116 games (+6.89 Units / 4% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 away games (+5.15 Units / 26% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 37 games (-15.45 Units / -35% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 20 games (-11.70 Units / -53% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.60 Units / 26% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games at home (+16.25 Units / 25% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 43 games (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+9.95 Units / 7% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 54 games at home (-25.25 Units / -41% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 59 games (-20.90 Units / -32% ROI)
KC vs MIN Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||