Los Angeles @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games on the slate. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 91.9 mph to 83 mph.

Garrett Mitchell's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Garrett Mitchell will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Stone today. Garrett Mitchell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage today.

American Family Field grades out as the #9 park in MLB for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). American Family Field has the 4th-shortest average fence height in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games on the slate. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's game.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Stone today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Jake Bauers has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 35.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.2°. Jake Bauers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 20% to 23.5%.

Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mookie Betts has posted a .289 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and William Contreras will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Stone in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 9th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Teoscar Hernandez has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 14.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last week's worth of games. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 96.1-mph.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Stone in today's game. Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brice Turang will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Gavin Lux's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Gavin Lux will hold the platoon advantage against Colin Rea in today's game. Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past week, Andy Pages has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 24.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.330) provides evidence that Andy Pages has had bad variance on his side this year with his .302 actual wOBA. Andy Pages's 20.8° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the league: 96th percentile.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 87.4-mph figure. Kevin Kiermaier's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (8.1°) is considerably better than his 4.4° angle last season.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Kike Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kike Hernandez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kike Hernandez's true offensive talent to be a .296, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .022 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .274 wOBA.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Rhys Hoskins will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 23.6°. Rhys Hoskins has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 23.6° angle is among the highest in MLB this year (100th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. In terms of plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's skill is quite strong, posting a 1.91 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 81st percentile.