MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 20, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Wed, May 20 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Cincinnati Reds logo Philadelphia Phillies logo u8.5 (+145)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (+127)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Cincinnati is 3-1 in the last four vs the Phillies as the moneyline underdog

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Wed, May 20 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage over Steven Matz in today's game.. Pete Alonso has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Tyler O'Neill logo
Tyler O'Neill o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Tyler O'Neill projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Tyler O'Neill will hold the platoon advantage over Steven Matz in today's matchup.. Tyler O'Neill pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Wed, May 20 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Trevor Larnach logo
Trevor Larnach u0.5 Total Hits (+172)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The 10th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Target Field.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for pitching on the schedule today.. Trevor Larnach's average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.1-mph EV last season has decreased to 86.6-mph.. Trevor Larnach and his 5.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 8th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Considering Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Wed, May 20 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Helman logo
Michael Helman u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Michael Helman's BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Helman is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Helman today.. Michael Helman's 82.9-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 4th percentile.
Total Hits
Sam Haggerty logo
Sam Haggerty u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Sam Haggerty is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the schedule today at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sam Haggerty in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, Sam Haggerty's 2.2% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 16th percentile among his peers.. Sam Haggerty and his 4.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 9th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Wed, May 20 • 3:40 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Corbin Carroll is locked in at the plate right now, hitting .429 over the last week while piling up extra-base hits. The Diamondbacks star has cleared this line in six consecutive games and now faces Tyler Mahle, who has struggled badly on the road with an ERA above eight. Given Carroll’s current form and Mahle’s issues away from home, there’s strong value on Carroll continuing his hot streak.

Total
San Francisco Giants logo Arizona Diamondbacks logo u8.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Despite Arizona’s productive offense, this matchup still profiles as a lower-scoring contest. The Giants continue to struggle offensively, ranking near the bottom of MLB in runs scored, while Kelly has shown signs of improvement on the mound. Five of the last seven meetings between these teams have gone Under, and both bullpens have been reliable enough lately to help keep the total in check.

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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Wed, May 20 • 4:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox logo CHW (+130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The Chicago White Sox project as one of the best moneyline values on the board today at +133, with a fair price closer to -102. Years of losing have softened the market on Chicago, but THE BAT is extremely high on them in this spot. They grinded out a 2-1 win last night in Seattle behind a combined one-hitter and could catch a Seattle Mariners team looking ahead. Seattle has to pack up after a two-series homestand and travel to Kansas City for Thursday, while the White Sox stay on the road and remain on the West Coast. It’s a favorable schedule spot for Chicago, and Seattle could also be forced to navigate today without its closer and setup man after both relievers worked on back-to-back days.

Total Bases
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colson Montgomery in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.. Colson Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage over Emerson Hancock in today's game... and even more favorably, Hancock has a large platoon split.. Colson Montgomery pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Wed, May 20 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Chris Sale logo Chris Sale u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+100)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Chris Sale has looked dominant all season and continues to pitch like one of the favorites for the NL Cy Young Award. The Braves ace owns a sub-2.00 ERA and has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last six starts. Coming off another scoreless outing, Sale now gets a matchup against a mediocre Marlins lineup that could struggle to generate much offense against him.

Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense.. Chris Sale will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Stowers today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Sale's huge platoon split.. Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest RF fences today.. Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last season has fallen to 6.2% this year.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Wed, May 20 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Daniel Schneemann logo
Daniel Schneemann u0.5 Total Hits (+123)
Projection 0.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Schneemann in the 24th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. In the league, Comerica Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Daniel Schneemann will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Daniel Schneemann has compiled a .219 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile.
Total Hits
Jose Ramirez logo
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Jose Ramirez has put up a .246 BABIP this year.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Wed, May 20 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park grades out as the #27 park in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense.. Jacob Young has been cold recently, limping his way to a .279 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.41
Best Odds
Pick made: 40 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest RF fences in the majors.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Wed, May 20 • 7:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Toronto Blue Jays logo New York Yankees logo u8.0 (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Tonight’s matchup features two starters in outstanding form. Cam Schlittler has emerged as the early AL Cy Young frontrunner after allowing one earned run or fewer in eight of 10 starts, while Trey Yesavage enters with a stellar 1.40 ERA. In their 14 combined starts this season, only four have gone Over the total. Both offenses have also cooled off significantly against right-handed pitching, ranking 26th and 28th in OPS over the last two weeks.

Strikeouts Thrown
Cam Schlittler logo Cam Schlittler o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-147)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Cam Schlittler has emerged as one of the breakout pitchers in baseball this season, combining elite run prevention with strong strikeout numbers. The Yankees right-hander has surpassed this strikeout total in three of his last four outings and is coming off a nine-strikeout performance. Even though Toronto usually avoids strikeouts, the Blue Jays have been whiffing more lately, which gives Schlittler a solid opportunity to cash this prop again.

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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Wed, May 20 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Shaw logo
Matt Shaw u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 field in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.. Matt Shaw has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will be challenged by MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.
Total Hits
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki u0.5 Total Hits (+132)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 field in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the lowest temperature of the day at 50°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.. Typically, hitters like Seiya Suzuki who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Kyle Harrison.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Milwaukee Brewers.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Wed, May 20 • 7:40 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo Kansas City Royals logo u8.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Boston ranks 22nd in wRC+ (85) against right-handed pitching this month, while Kansas City has been even worse (29th with a 65 wRC+) against southpaws.  Michael Wacha (0.99 WHIP) and Connelly Early (102 Stuff+, combined with Boston's bullpen (1.96 ERA in May) provide a strong pitching outlook.

Moneyline
Kansas City Royals logo KC (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Michael Wacha has a 2.83 ERA this season and strong prior results against Boston's projected lineup (.563 OPS). He gives Kansas City a strong chance of avoiding the sweep against a Red Sox team that has been slumping at the plate, scoring more than 3 runs just once in their last 10 games.

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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Wed, May 20 • 7:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+139)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences in MLB.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has strong power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy struggles to strike batters out (6th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Total Bases
Marcell Ozuna logo
Marcell Ozuna o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.34
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Busch Stadium has the 8th-shortest fences in MLB.. Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this year (24.7°) is significantly better than his 14.6° angle last season.. The standard deviation of Marcell Ozuna's launch angle this year (25.7°) is in the 80th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Wed, May 20 • 8:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD (-167)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
Chris Gregory image
Chris Gregory
Publishing Editor

Shohei Ohtani takes the mound on Wednesday after throwing seven scoreless innings against the Giants in his last start. That adds to the fact that his ERA sits at a sterling 0.82 through seven starts this season. He hasn't gotten much run support, but this Dodgers offense ranks third in runs per game, so the tide will turn soon enough.

Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.49
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold that advantage today.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Wed, May 20 • 9:38 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Nick Kurtz logo Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+340)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Kurtz is climbing the AL MVP board and now sits as the No. 5 betting favorite at +2200. Over the last two weeks, he owns the third-fastest swing speed in baseball behind Junior Caminero and Jordan Walker, while also ranking inside the Top 20 in both ISO and slugging percentage. He’s coming off a 3-for-5 game in Anaheim and should get a full nine innings against some of the worst pitching in baseball. Jack Kochanowicz is a pitch-to-contact arm with poor BlastContact numbers and is coming off a three-home-run outing at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers. His bullpen is also a massive target, carrying the second-worst ERA in baseball over the last two weeks while dealing with closer issues. The Athletics piled up 15 hits yesterday, including six extra-base knocks. This fair price should be under +300.

Total Home Runs
Mike Trout logo Mike Trout o0.5 Total Home Runs (+316)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I'm kicking myself for avoiding Mike Trout yesterday in a good spot, but at a sub-300 pricetag, it was a pass. That won't be the case today at +316 with a fair price at +280. Trout snapped a 12-game HR drought last night in Anaheim, and his swing speed is not dropping as we enter the Summer months of the season, which can be a worry for the oft-injured outfielder. Trout gets Aaron Civale, who is a bottom-25 starter in BlastCont% and a pitcher he has already taken deep in a small six-at-bat sample. He isn't the only Halo who is projecting +EV, as Zach Neto (+433) and Jo Adell (+399) are also on the list. Neto has been crushing, and I bet Adell yesterday, so the day-after theory is in full effect. With a lot of rain on the slate today, 6-mph winds blowing out to center with mid-70-degree temperatures are creating one of the better hitting environments with a pair of bad bullpens.  

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