Minnesota @ Chicago Picks & Props
MIN vs CHC Picks
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MIN vs CHC Consensus Picks
76% picking Minnesota vs Chi. Cubs to go Over
Total PicksMIN 360, CHC 115
MIN vs CHC Props
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
This matchup is predicted to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. In today's game, Willi Castro is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.6% rate (78th percentile). The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro today.
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
This matchup is predicted to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 11.5-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among all the teams in action today. Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against David Festa. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Festa today. Michael Busch is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Nico Hoerner will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) provides evidence that Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side this year with his .256 actual batting average.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Byron Buxton has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 44.4% in the past week.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Austin Martin pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Austin Martin's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 54%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.283) implies that Austin Martin has been unlucky this year with his .243 actual batting average.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Brooks Lee has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .279 figure is deflated compared to his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (45.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Isaac Paredes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Pete Crow-Armstrong's BABIP ability is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over David Festa in today's game. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Christian Bethancourt Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Christian Bethancourt will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Christian Bethancourt's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.2% to 23.1%.
Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Tauchman in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mike Tauchman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an edge in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Dansby Swanson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over David Festa in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Hendricks today. Matt Wallner has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP. Matt Wallner has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 18.8% rate last year to 27.8% this year.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Kepler can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Max Kepler has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.9-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89-mph figure.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Over the past 7 days, Carlos Santana's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.9%. Sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year, Carlos Santana has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 86th percentile.
Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Manuel Margot's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, Manuel Margot has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10°) over the last two weeks. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.314) may lead us to conclude that Manuel Margot has suffered from bad luck this year with his .278 actual wOBA.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Out of every team playing today, the 13th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Amaya has had bad variance on his side this year with his .216 actual batting average.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Hendricks today. Trevor Larnach will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ryan Jeffers's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 87.8-mph over the past week. Placing in the 75th percentile, Ryan Jeffers sits with a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
MIN vs CHC Trends
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 90 games (+9.80 Units / 7% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+9.10 Units / 22% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 25% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.00 Units / 13% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 50 games (-18.25 Units / -33% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 9 games (-2.20 Units / -18% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 102 games (+12.10 Units / 11% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.70 Units / 21% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.15 Units / 20% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+5.05 Units / 54% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 85 games (-27.25 Units / -24% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 104 games (-21.85 Units / -19% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 44 games at home (-17.80 Units / -33% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 44 games at home (-16.65 Units / -32% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 44 games at home (-13.90 Units / -26% ROI)
MIN vs CHC Top User Picks
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||