Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today. Petco Park grades out as the #25 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Posting a 4.37 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Merrill has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

Petco Park grades out as the #25 venue in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The Colorado Rockies infield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of every team today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph EV last year has lowered to 87.2-mph. In the past 7 days, Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 87.2 mph to 81.2 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's game. Ryan McMahon has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph figure.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Michael Toglia will get to bat from his strong side against Matt Waldron today. Michael Toglia has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 17.9% seasonal rate to 30% in the past 7 days. Michael Toglia's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 90-mph over the last week. Michael Toglia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 91-mph average.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) may lead us to conclude that Hunter Goodman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .183 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman's 11% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) implies that Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year with his .224 actual batting average. Ha-seong Kim has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 1.35 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 14 days. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 42% to 47.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jake Cave is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage against Matt Waldron in today's game. Jake Cave hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jake Cave has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.3-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Ezequiel Tovar has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph mark. There has been a significant improvement in Ezequiel Tovar's launch angle from last year's 12.3° to 18.6° this year.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park.

Jacob Stallings has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Last year, Jacob Stallings had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 15.3°. In the last 14 days, Jacob Stallings has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 27.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.3°. Ranking in the 81st percentile, Jacob Stallings has put up a .334 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Manny Machado will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Manny Machado has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 23.5% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. The Colorado Rockies don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth is assured to hold the advantage against every reliever the whole game.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.8°, Brenton Doyle has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 32.3° mark over the past week. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 13.7% to 18.4%.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park.

The shallowest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Petco Park. Kyle Higashioka will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Kyle Higashioka's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.7-mph recently. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 26.2%. Over the last two weeks, Kyle Higashioka's 65% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Brendan Rodgers has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph figure. Over the last two weeks, Brendan Rodgers's 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.1%.

Kris Bryant hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Kris Bryant's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 20% on the season to 46.7% over the last two weeks.

David Peralta will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so David Peralta is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. David Peralta hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and David Peralta will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to last year, David Peralta has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 46.8% to 53.4% this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an advantage in today's matchup. Sam Hilliard hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Luis Campusano has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.