Miami @ Atlanta Picks & Props
MIA vs ATL Picks
MLB PicksCheck out all baseball picks and predictions
Latest headlines Checkout latest headlinesRead more
MIA vs ATL Consensus Picks
81% picking Atlanta
Total PicksMIA 128, ATL 540
78% picking Miami vs Atlanta to go Over
Total PicksMIA 263, ATL 76
MIA vs ATL Props
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The 3rd-deepest LF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park. Batting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Travis d'Arnaud will have a disadvantage in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins. Travis d'Arnaud has been lucky this year, posting a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .033 gap.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
Jonah Bride is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. In the past week's worth of games, Emmanuel Rivera's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 22.2%.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side against Spencer Schwellenbach today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Xavier Edwards has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards's true offensive talent to be a .306, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .099 gap between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Austin Riley faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Austin Riley has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 4.8% over the past week.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Nick Gordon will have an advantage in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.
Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jorge Soler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Marcell Ozuna's true offensive talent to be a .350, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .055 difference between that figure and his actual .405 wOBA.
Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage in today's game.
Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Sean Murphy will hold that advantage in today's game.
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic will have the handedness advantage over Valente Bellozo today.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Miami
Kyle Stowers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for lefty batting average. Truist Park has the 4th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Valente Bellozo today.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Orlando Arcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 4th-best park in the majors for RHB batting average. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the slate today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Orlando Arcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
Vidal Brujan has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
MIA vs ATL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.50 Units / 28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 39% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 91 games (+9.00 Units / 8% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games (+6.30 Units / 45% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 games (+5.70 Units / 12% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 108 games (-33.35 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 86 games (-25.05 Units / -27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 52 away games (-22.75 Units / -37% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 91 games (-20.75 Units / -19% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 82 games (-19.05 Units / -21% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 86 games (+23.95 Units / 25% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 79% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 44% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 54% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 96 games (-37.60 Units / -36% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have not hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in any of their last 7 games (-7.80 Units / -100% ROI)
MIA vs ATL Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||