Miami @ Milwaukee Picks & Props
MIA vs MIL Picks
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MIA vs MIL Consensus Picks
70% picking Milwaukee
Total PicksMIA 201, MIL 467
62% picking Miami vs Milwaukee to go Over
Total PicksMIA 238, MIL 148
MIA vs MIL Props
Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brice Turang's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 80.5-mph in the past week. Brice Turang's launch angle recently (-1.6° in the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.2° seasonal angle. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (2.8°) is significantly lower than his 10.2° figure last season.
Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
10% of the time that Jackson Chourio has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Kyle Tyler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio in today's matchup. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 6.6° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in MLB.
William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Kyle Tyler throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup today. In the past week, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 96.6 mph to 88.2 mph. In the past week, William Contreras's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.4%.
Jonah Bride Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.297) may lead us to conclude that Jonah Bride has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .242 actual wOBA.
Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
Jake Bauers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Sal Frelick will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences today.
Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Xavier Edwards will bat from his bad side against Tobias Myers in this game. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Xavier Edwards in today's game.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
Bryan De La Cruz's BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. This season, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.9 mph compared to last year's 92.4 mph mark.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Garrett Mitchell Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Garrett Mitchell will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Tyler in today's game.
Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Blake Perkins will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Blake Perkins has put up a .334 BABIP this year.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Otto Lopez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .257 figure is quite a bit lower than his .308 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Nick Gordon will have the upper hand in today's game. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Nick Gordon's launch angle recently (20.3° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 5.8° seasonal figure.
Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects American Family Field as the 10th-best park in MLB for left-handed base hits. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Willy Adames Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami
The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Tobias Myers today. Vidal Brujan's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 41% on the season to 50% over the last week.
Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Eric Haase will hold that advantage today.
Rhys Hoskins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in American Family Field. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Miami Marlins outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst among every team on the slate today.
MIA vs MIL Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 46 away games (+14.50 Units / 27% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 76 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 50 of their last 87 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.10 Units / 71% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 104 games (-33.80 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 82 games (-26.50 Units / -30% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 48 away games (-20.65 Units / -37% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-20.65 Units / -20% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-17.95 Units / -21% ROI)
Milwaukee Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+9.90 Units / 23% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+10.05 Units / 8% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+9.75 Units / 23% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 104 games (+7.70 Units / 6% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 36 games at home (+6.40 Units / 15% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 100 games (-20.75 Units / -19% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 47 of their last 104 games (-18.40 Units / -15% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 103 games (-12.90 Units / -11% ROI)
The Milwaukee Brewers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 83 games (-11.50 Units / -10% ROI)
MIA vs MIL Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Milwaukee Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||