Texas @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Jon Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Springer today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Gray's large platoon split. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team on the slate today. Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.2°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) in the last two weeks. Ranking in the 12th percentile, George Springer sports a .248 BABIP this year.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Wyatt Langford meets a tough challenge in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today's game. In the past 14 days, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.5 mph to 88.5 mph.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Marcus Semien has a tough challenge today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°, Marcus Semien has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.1°) in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. Jon Gray will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Gray's large platoon split. The Texas Rangers infield defense projects as the 5th-best out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 15% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 14.2% on the season to 30.8% in the last week.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Josh Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 30.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.3°. Josh Smith has recorded a .359 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

Rogers Centre projects as the #23 park in MLB for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today's matchup.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Because of Jon Gray's large platoon split, Addison Barger will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Addison Barger may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's game.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Because of Jon Gray's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Leody Taveras's batting average ability is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 98-mph of late. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.320) suggests that Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

Spencer Horwitz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Jon Gray in today's game... and the cherry on top, Gray has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Spencer Horwitz can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Jonah Heim has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage today. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 19.2% on the season to 27.3% over the last 14 days. Justin Turner has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. In the past 7 days, Robbie Grossman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.1-mph over the course of the season to 96.1-mph lately. In the last week, Robbie Grossman's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.9%. As it relates to plate discipline, Robbie Grossman's talent is quite good, posting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 95th percentile.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Justin Foscue has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) in the last week's worth of games. Justin Foscue has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the past week.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ernie Clement is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .296 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage in today's game. Davis Schneider's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, going from 43.1% on the season to 55.6% over the last 7 days.

The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage against Jon Gray today... and moreover, Gray has a large platoon split. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. This season, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.7 mph compared to last year's 87.4 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, notching a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .033 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest CF fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre. Alejandro Kirk will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.3-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 94.2-mph.