Texas @ Toronto Picks & Props
TEX vs TOR Picks
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TEX vs TOR Consensus Picks
69% picking Texas vs Toronto to go Over
Total PicksTEX 303, TOR 134
TEX vs TOR Props
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
Rogers Centre grades out as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. Hitting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, George Springer faces a tough challenge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers. George Springer's launch angle of late (3.5° in the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 8.2° seasonal mark.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
Rogers Centre grades out as the #23 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching on the slate today. Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge today. Out of every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
Spencer Horwitz's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge today.
Steward Berroa Total Hits Props • Toronto
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Steward Berroa will hold that advantage today.
Josh H. Smith Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Smith in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's game. Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Marcus Semien has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.7-mph.
Justin Foscue Total Hits Props • Texas
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Over the past 7 days, Justin Foscue's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.
Nathaniel Lowe Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Kevin Gausman throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. In the past 7 days, Nathaniel Lowe's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 20%.
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Davis Schneider will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Davis Schneider's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.
Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Wyatt Langford has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22° angle over the past two weeks.
Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas
Corey Seager projects as the 8th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Corey Seager will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman in today's matchup. Corey Seager hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Jonah Heim has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph. Over the past two weeks, Jonah Heim has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto
Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Justin Turner will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Justin Turner's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.
Adolis García Total Hits Props • Texas
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .323, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .286 wOBA.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) provides evidence that Ernie Clement has had bad variance on his side this year with his .291 actual wOBA.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Alejandro Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 20%.
Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. In the last 7 days, Leody Taveras's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph of late. Leody Taveras has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .284 rate is quite a bit lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • Texas
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.260) implies that Andrew Knizner has suffered from bad luck this year with his .179 actual wOBA.
TEX vs TOR Trends
Texas Trends
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 97 games (+14.60 Units / 14% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 games (+8.95 Units / 14% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+7.75 Units / 11% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 27% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 53% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-24.60 Units / -22% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only covered the Run Line in 42 of their last 96 games (-19.80 Units / -16% ROI)
The Texas Rangers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 55 games (-15.90 Units / -24% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 102 games (+8.10 Units / 7% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.15 Units / 16% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games (+1.05 Units / 6% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 45 games at home (-28.60 Units / -51% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 102 games (-23.20 Units / -19% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 60 games (-20.70 Units / -31% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 80 games (-18.35 Units / -19% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (-17.60 Units / -16% ROI)
TEX vs TOR Top User Picks
Texas Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KingScorpio | 7-3-0 | +24325 |
| 2 | mojonaciosoy | 8-2-0 | +20585 |
| 3 | bigosports12 | 7-3-0 | +19655 |
| 4 | hennryh | 7-3-0 | +17895 |
| 5 | Whiteyr | 4-6-0 | +17780 |
| 6 | MexicanBettor | 5-5-0 | +16866 |
| 7 | cameleon53 | 6-4-0 | +16495 |
| 8 | DODBUCKSTEEL | 5-5-0 | +15755 |
| 9 | chensucht | 6-4-0 | +15755 |
| 10 | dude18555 | 6-4-0 | +15415 |
| All Rangers Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||