Tampa Bay @ Toronto Picks & Props

Rogers Centre projects as the #23 park in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Zach Eflin will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today's game. Sporting a .253 BABIP this year, George Springer is positioned in the 15th percentile.

Rogers Centre projects as the #23 park in baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s launch angle from last season's 10.2° to 6.5° this year.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Eflin in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (27.1°) is quite a bit better than his 20.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Zach Eflin in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 16.1% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 14 days. Jose Siri has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last season's 94-mph mark. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 21.4% on the season to 33.3% over the past 14 days.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zach Eflin throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an edge in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph mark. Despite posting a .243 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Kevin Kiermaier has experienced some negative variance given the .031 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .274.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. In the past week, Randy Arozarena's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 27.3%. Randy Arozarena has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 97.3-mph in the last week.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Justin Turner's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%. In terms of plate discipline, Justin Turner's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.51 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 92nd percentile.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Ernie Clement will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Richie Palacios is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Richie Palacios hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Richie Palacios has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 90.5-mph. By putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year, Richie Palacios has shown strong plate discipline, placing in the 89th percentile.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Despite posting a .236 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance given the .045 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

Alejandro Kirk's batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 87.5-mph figure. Alejandro Kirk's launch angle this season (11.9°) is a significant increase over his 6.2° angle last season.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (31.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 23.8° seasonal mark. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (21.7°) is a significant increase over his 18° mark last year. In notching a .350 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Paredes is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 102.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph. Over the last week, Jose Caballero's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.1%. Checking in at the 76th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .322 BABIP this year.

Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, Ben Rortvedt has put up a .359 BABIP this year.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen's launch angle from last year's 19.5° to 24° this season. With a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Danny Jansen has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 90th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge today. Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Brandon Lowe's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.9-mph over the course of the season to 97.8-mph recently.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.