World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksCOL 148, NYM 446
Total PicksCOL 220, NYM 123
Jose Iglesias is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. German Marquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Iglesias in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.
The #1 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against German Marquez The Colorado Rockies infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of every team on the slate today.
Ezequiel Tovar's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have the upper hand in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Brendan Rodgers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana today. Brendan Rodgers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Hunter Goodman will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Hunter Goodman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .187 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .222. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Jacob Stallings will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana today. Compared to last season, Jacob Stallings has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.9% to 46.2% this season. Jacob Stallings has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 75th percentile with a 2.14 K/BB rate.
Ryan McMahon's BABIP skill is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Ryan McMahon has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 46.1% to 54.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Brenton Doyle will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Charlie Blackmon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past week, Charlie Blackmon's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Sean Bouchard will have the handedness advantage over Jose Quintana in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Sean Bouchard's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 83rd percentile at 94.6 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Pete Alonso pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Michael Toglia has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17.4% seasonal rate to 23.3% over the last 14 days. Michael Toglia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 94.9-mph over the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.6°, Michael Toglia has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.5° figure over the past 14 days.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Elias Diaz will have an advantage today.
Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.9-mph.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (58% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°. Tyrone Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. Tyrone Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.3% seasonal rate to 17.4% in the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Tyrone Taylor has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.5° mark over the past 14 days.
D.J. Stewart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 91°. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, D.J. Stewart will have an edge in today's matchup. D.J. Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 7-2-1 | +28415 |
| 2 | leafs126 | 8-2-0 | +28005 |
| 3 | adgadg222 | 8-2-0 | +26815 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-6-0 | +23010 |
| 5 | Dogface253 | 7-2-1 | +22855 |
| 6 | moneyformo | 7-3-0 | +21495 |
| 7 | ND21 | 9-1-0 | +21105 |
| 8 | Hoosier | 7-2-1 | +20260 |
| 9 | fishercz | 8-1-1 | +19955 |
| 10 | simoncald | 9-1-0 | +19655 |
| All Rockies Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||