Cleveland @ Tampa Bay props

Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (69% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Tropicana Field ranks as the #29 stadium in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage over Amed Rosario today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Amed Rosario hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Tropicana Field ranks as the #29 stadium in the league for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Ben Lively will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's game... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Lively's large platoon split. Among all the teams today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Yandy Diaz is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of the day).

The #2 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field. The Tropicana Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Steven Kwan today. Steven Kwan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 87.7-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.4-mph in the past 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive skill to be a .311, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .089 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .400 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Andres Gimenez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86-mph to 90.8-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season's 94-mph average. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 20.5% on the season to 36.4% over the past week.

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Over the last week, Angel Martinez's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 23.8% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The switch-hitting Jose Ramirez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 37.3% on the season to 58.8% in the past 7 days.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. In the past week, Brayan Rocchio's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.9% up to 10%.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Isaac Paredes's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.2% up to 33.3%. Isaac Paredes's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.1°) is a significant increase over his 18° figure last season.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Brandon Lowe has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Given Ben Lively's large platoon split, Richie Palacios will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Richie Palacios stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Richie Palacios pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Richie Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Richie Palacios has displayed good plate discipline this year, placing in the 90th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. In MLB, Tropicana Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the past two weeks.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bo Naylor will have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the past week, Bo Naylor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%. Bo Naylor has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Last season, Taylor Walls had an average launch angle of 17.3° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 24.1°. Despite posting a .235 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has had bad variance on his side given the .046 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Will Brennan is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Will Brennan will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Brennan has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph average. Last season, Will Brennan had an average launch angle of 7.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 13.5°.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Ryan Pepiot who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. In the past week, Daniel Schneemann's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.5 mph to 86.4 mph. In the last two weeks, Daniel Schneemann's 27.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest RF fences in the league. Considering Ben Lively's large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ben Rortvedt will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 80th percentile, Ben Rortvedt has put up a .275 batting average this year.

Jhonkensy Noel has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.