Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Over the last two weeks, William Contreras's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 96.9 mph to 94.6 mph. William Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 9.9% on the season to 5.7% in the last 14 days. As it relates to his batting average, William Contreras has had some very good luck this year. His .296 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .269.

Jackson Chourio has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year. Jackson Chourio has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's game. In the past 7 days, Jackson Chourio's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.7%. Posting a .288 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jackson Chourio is ranked in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage today.

Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Compared to his seasonal average of 3.4°, Joey Bart has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 6.5° figure over the last 7 days.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Jack Suwinski will have the upper hand today. Over the last week, Jack Suwinski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 27.3%. Jack Suwinski's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 15.2% on the season to 28.6% in the past 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.228) provides evidence that Jack Suwinski has had some very poor luck this year with his .186 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Barrel% of Andrew McCutchen has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12.6% this year.

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Tobias Myers today. Rowdy Tellez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jared Triolo has had some very poor luck this year. His .252 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Brice Turang will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In notching a .285 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Brice Turang finds himself in the 91st percentile. Brice Turang has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 1.97 K/BB rate.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Yelich will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side against Tobias Myers in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Palacios in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Josh Palacios is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Josh Palacios will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Martin Perez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage today.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Martin Perez. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Blake Perkins's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%. Blake Perkins has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Willy Adames will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game.

Among all stadiums, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Yasmani Grandal has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 87.9-mph EV.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Andruw Monasterio will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.271) suggests that Andruw Monasterio has experienced some negative variance this year with his .237 actual wOBA.

Eric Haase has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.