Detroit @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

When estimating his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Parker Meadows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. When it comes to his batting average, Parker Meadows has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .189 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.

This year, Colt Keith has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colt Keith today. Colt Keith has recorded a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile. As it relates to plate discipline, Colt Keith's skill is quite poor, posting a 3.62 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 24th percentile.

Gio Urshela is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game. Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage over Gio Urshela in today's game. Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Gio Urshela's average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 87.5-mph figure last year has dropped off to 85.3-mph. Gio Urshela has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the past 14 days.

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage today. Will Benson's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (27.4° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 17.3° seasonal angle.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Justyn-Henry Malloy has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week's worth of games.

Graham Ashcraft will have the handedness advantage over Matt Vierling today. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Vierling today. Matt Vierling's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 15.9% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. As it relates to plate discipline, Matt Vierling's ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.65 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 10th percentile.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Santiago Espinal will have an advantage in today's game. Santiago Espinal has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Graham Ashcraft today.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Jake Rogers pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Jake Rogers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Spencer Steer will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have an advantage in today's game.

The #9 park in the league for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Graham Ashcraft throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds. Zach McKinstry has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season's 88-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Noelvi Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today's matchup.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Austin Wynns will have an advantage in today's game. Austin Wynns has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Stuart Fairchild will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal today. Stuart Fairchild pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Dunn in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. In the league, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather of all games today at 86°. Blake Dunn will have the handedness advantage against Tarik Skubal in today's game.