World Series Odds: A Dodgers Three-Peat is Already at +220, But It's Far From a Sure Thing
Total PicksMIL 236, LAD 494
Total PicksMIL 252, LAD 186
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Garrett Mitchell's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 29.19 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 30.09 ft/sec now.
Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 76th percentile with a 1.98 K/BB rate.
In today's matchup, Teoscar Hernandez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.8% rate (83rd percentile). The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team playing today. Teoscar Hernandez has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 15.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 3.8% over the past 14 days. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 95.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 91-mph over the past two weeks. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle recently (4.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 10.4° seasonal figure.
The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Vinny Capra will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today.
Dallas Keuchel will hold the platoon advantage over Freddie Freeman in today's game. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team playing today.
Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers. William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. William Contreras has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 87.7-mph over the past two weeks. Over the past week, William Contreras's 4.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.267) provides evidence that William Contreras has been very fortunate this year with his .297 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 9th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Over the last 7 days, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 25%. Christian Yelich has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 94.9-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.
The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Batting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Chris Taylor will have an advantage today. Bats such as Chris Taylor with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dallas Keuchel who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Chris Taylor will hold that advantage in today's game. Chris Taylor has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.
Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Brice Turang ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .284. Ranking in the 86th percentile, Brice Turang sports a .286 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Andy Pages is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Andy Pages will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's game. Batters such as Andy Pages with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dallas Keuchel who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will get to bat from his good side (0) today against James Paxton. Placing in the 76th percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .325 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Willy Adames will have an edge today. Willy Adames has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 20.9° mark is among the highest in the majors this year (96th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
The 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Eric Haase will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Eric Haase has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .236 rate is quite a bit lower than his .262 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Miguel Vargas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dallas Keuchel in today's matchup. Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Dallas Keuchel. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Dallas Keuchel throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an edge in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to plate discipline, Miguel Rojas's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 90th percentile. Ranking in the 81st percentile, Miguel Rojas has posted a .275 batting average this year.
Kike Hernandez will have the handedness advantage against Dallas Keuchel today. Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kike Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Kike Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph EV.
Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an advantage today. Andruw Monasterio's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 39.6% on the season to 57.1% in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.284) implies that Andruw Monasterio has experienced some negative variance this year with his .239 actual wOBA.
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | doomsday07 | 9-1-0 | +27055 |
| 2 | LuckyGuy | 3-7-0 | +21010 |
| 3 | Ollywood | 4-6-0 | +19651 |
| 4 | luke44 | 2-7-1 | +18810 |
| 5 | declin005 | 5-5-0 | +18675 |
| 6 | ronebme | 7-3-0 | +18055 |
| 7 | joe pockets | 7-3-0 | +17000 |
| 8 | peede | 5-5-0 | +16645 |
| 9 | longball44 | 7-3-0 | +16480 |
| 10 | djgarcia | 7-3-0 | +16030 |
| All Brewers Money Leaders | |||
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||