Toronto @ Seattle Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jorge Polanco has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Luke Raley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that George Kirby throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. meets a tough challenge in today's game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.2% down to 0%.

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ernie Clement's launch angle in recent games (23.2° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 17.9° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.326) implies that Ernie Clement has had bad variance on his side this year with his .281 actual wOBA.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Daulton Varsho is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (28.2°) is considerably better than his 20.3° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge today. Spencer Horwitz will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand in today's game. Dominic Canzone will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Justin Turner has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.9-mph figure. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 47.4% on the season to 52.4% in the last two weeks.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cal Raleigh has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 26.3% in the last 14 days.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the past week, Danny Jansen's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph recently. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (23.2°) is considerably better than his 19.5° figure last year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.329) may lead us to conclude that Danny Jansen has suffered from bad luck this year with his .301 actual wOBA.

T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Rojas will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios today. Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 41.9% to 48.1%.

Ty France's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ty France is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 8th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Bo Bichette has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Bo Bichette has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 91.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). George Springer has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Victor Robles will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.339) implies that Victor Robles has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .318 actual wOBA. Using Statcast data, Victor Robles is in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .270.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.8-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph EV. Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.8-mph.

Mitch Garver is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mitch Garver pulls many of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage today. Mitch Garver has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.7% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last two weeks.

T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an advantage in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In the past week's worth of games, Kevin Kiermaier's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 25%.

T-Mobile Park has the least fair ground in the majors — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Mitch Haniger will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Mitch Haniger has had some very poor luck this year. His .277 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .297.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Moore will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dylan Moore's launch angle recently (27° over the past 7 days) is considerably better than his 23.9° seasonal mark.

Davis Schneider has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.