Milwaukee @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. By putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate this year, Sal Frelick has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 75th percentile.

The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Chris Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Chris Taylor has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week. In the past 7 days, Chris Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.5-mph lately.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games today at 89°. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Miguel Vargas's launch angle from last year's 16.6° to 34.7° this year.

20% of the time that Jackson Chourio has started against a southpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the last 14 days, Jackson Chourio's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 89.5 mph to 81.4 mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.6°, Jackson Chourio has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.8°) over the past two weeks. Jackson Chourio has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 3.7° angle is among the lowest in the majors this year (6th percentile).

When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's game. Ranking in the 77th percentile, Teoscar Hernandez sports a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

When assessing his batting average ability, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The Milwaukee Brewers have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Rhys Hoskins will have the handedness advantage over James Paxton today. Despite posting a .307 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rhys Hoskins has experienced some negative variance given the .028 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras today. William Contreras has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 86.9-mph in the last week. As it relates to his batting average, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .295 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brice Turang hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast metrics, Brice Turang ranks in the 90th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285. Sporting a .339 BABIP this year, Brice Turang grades out in the 89th percentile.

James Paxton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Yelich today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Yelich in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Yelich's true offensive ability to be a .345, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .043 difference between that figure and his actual .388 wOBA.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Freddy Peralta throws from, James Outman will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and James Outman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. James Outman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last year's 92.4-mph EV. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, James Outman has experienced some negative variance this year. His .237 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .299.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Gavin Lux will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past two weeks, Gavin Lux's 53.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47%.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Blake Perkins will get to bat from his good side against James Paxton today. By putting up a .334 BABIP this year, Blake Perkins has performed in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Willy Adames will have an edge today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andy Pages is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in Dodger Stadium. The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Miguel Rojas's batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Miguel Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 10.1% on the season to 41.7% in the last 7 days. By putting up a 1.63 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

The weather forecast expects the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that James Paxton throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Andruw Monasterio's 61.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%. Andruw Monasterio has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .252 figure is deflated compared to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Garrett Mitchell has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.