Detroit @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences among all major league stadiums. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the same side that Kenta Maeda throws from, Carlos Correa faces a tough challenge today. Carlos Correa's launch angle recently (6.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly lower than his 10.4° seasonal figure. Carlos Correa has been lucky this year, putting up a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .036 gap.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the same side that Kenta Maeda throws from, Jose Miranda will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Jose Miranda's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 13.3%. Over the last week, Jose Miranda's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 86.7 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Riley Greene generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 46.9% on the season to 55.9% in the last two weeks.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand today. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Zach McKinstry has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark. Zach McKinstry's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (29.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.6° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Mark Canha has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 82nd percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Willi Castro is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 49.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Matt Vierling has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 4.7% rate last year to 10.3% this season.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Andy Ibanez's launch angle this year (17.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.6° figure last year. Andy Ibanez has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a key skill for batting average), placing in the 82nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Andy Ibanez sits with a .319 BABIP since the start of last season.

Colt Keith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.7°, Colt Keith has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.4°) over the past 14 days.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Kenta Maeda in today's game. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Max Kepler has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Austin Martin's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Austin Martin will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 75th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.12 ft/sec this year, Austin Martin is remarkably toolsy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Manuel Margot will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.5-mph. Manuel Margot's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 46% on the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kenta Maeda in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Trevor Larnach has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Jake Rogers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93.4-mph in the last week. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.5°, Jake Rogers has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 33° angle in the past week. Jake Rogers and his 20.4° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 98th percentile, among the highest in the league since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins. Gio Urshela has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .237 figure is a good deal lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today. Carlos Santana will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Carlos Santana has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 93.3-mph in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Byron Buxton has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 9.8% seasonal rate to 17.2% in the last 14 days.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle in recent games (25.9° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 16.5° seasonal mark. Ryan Jeffers has recorded a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

Ryan Kreidler has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.