San Diego @ Texas Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jackson Merrill in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in MLB for right-handed base hits. In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Marcus Semien will have a tough challenge in today's game. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 21.1% to 17.5%.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph average last year has fallen to 87.3-mph.

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 park in MLB for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In MLB, Globe Life Field's CF fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Jonathan Ornelas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jonathan Ornelas and his 19° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 88th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

Travis Jankowski will have the handedness advantage over Adam Mazur in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Last season, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.5°. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.268) implies that Travis Jankowski has had bad variance on his side this year with his .234 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Travis Jankowski's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.64 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. There has been a significant improvement in Donovan Solano's launch angle from last season's 12.9° to 17.8° this year. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Donovan Solano sports a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. In notching a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, Donovan Solano is positioned in the 97th percentile.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle lately (28.2° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 16.2° seasonal mark. Josh Smith has notched a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur today. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 14 days. With a 1.83 K/BB rate this year, Nathaniel Lowe has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Derek Hill will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Derek Hill has displayed impressive power, recording a a 30% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power). Derek Hill has exhibited some good exit velocity statistics of late, averaging 100.7-mph on his flyballs over the last week. Derek Hill has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits in recent games, angling balls between -4° and 26° 70% of the time in the last week's worth of games.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 93.3-mph in the last two weeks. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 42% to 50.2%. By putting up a .296 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jurickson Profar is ranked in the 97th percentile. Jurickson Profar has exhibited good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 97th percentile with a 1.2 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wyatt Langford will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week's worth of games. Wyatt Langford has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the past week, Adolis Garcia's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 26.7%. Adolis Garcia has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 97.3-mph in the last week.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week.

Kyle Higashioka has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.4% seasonal rate to 30% in the past week. Compared to last season, Kyle Higashioka has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.5% to 27.7% this season. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 27.7% on the season to 40.9% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 figure is a fair amount lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. In terms of his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance this year. His .226 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253. As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.16 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph recently. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Manny Machado has notched a .270 batting average this year.