Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props

Mauricio Dubon is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mauricio Dubon today. Mauricio Dubon has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.3-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the last week. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 45.2% to 39.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's game. Alex Bregman's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 86.4-mph over the past two weeks. Alex Bregman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 15.7% on the season to 6.8% over the last 14 days. Alex Bregman has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Over the past week, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.8 mph to 79.1 mph. Yainer Diaz's launch angle this season (8.2°) is significantly worse than his 11.3° angle last season. Yainer Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 12.8% on the season to 4.8% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Jose Altuve's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 78.8-mph in the past week's worth of games. In terms of his batting average, Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year. His .308 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .277.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.88 ft/sec this year, Joey Loperfido is very quick.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Ronel Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today. Bo Bichette's launch angle recently (0.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly worse than his 7.4° seasonal figure. Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (3.7°) is considerably worse than his 7.8° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-worst park in the game for RHB BABIP. Batting from the same side that Ronel Blanco throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Houston Astros outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-strongest out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage against Ronel Blanco today.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Ronel Blanco in today's game. Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Rogers Centre grades out as the #23 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Batting from the same side that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Yordan Alvarez encounters a tough challenge in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Yordan Alvarez's average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 90.5-mph in the last week. In the past 14 days, Yordan Alvarez's 35.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Ronel Blanco today. Addison Barger hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Addison Barger will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 2.9°, Addison Barger has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 10.3° figure over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today. In the last week's worth of games, Davis Schneider's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 0%.

Chas McCormick's BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Chas McCormick will have the upper hand today. Chas McCormick has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Alejandro Kirk will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year's 90.6-mph mark.

Ernie Clement's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.1°, Ernie Clement has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24.6° figure in the last 14 days.

The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Grae Kessinger will have the handedness advantage over Yusei Kikuchi in today's matchup. Grae Kessinger's quickness has improved this season. His 26.53 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.29 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Meyers in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jake Meyers has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 6th-shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Rogers Centre. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Yusei Kikuchi throws from, Jake Meyers will have the upper hand today.

Kevin Kiermaier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Leo Jimenez has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.