San Diego @ Texas Picks & Props

Globe Life Field grades out as the #29 ballpark in the majors for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). In the league, Globe Life Field's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last season has fallen off to 87.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .227 figure is considerably lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Sporting a 1.13 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, going from 14.6% on the season to 21.4% over the past two weeks. Ranking in the 78th percentile, Donovan Solano sports a .339 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season. Donovan Solano has compiled a .360 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 98th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 47.2%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) may lead us to conclude that Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck this year with his .299 actual wOBA.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Corey Seager will have the upper hand in today's game. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Corey Seager has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.9-mph in the last week.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his good side against Dylan Cease today. Leody Taveras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Leody Taveras has had some very poor luck this year. His .275 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Wyatt Langford's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph lately. Wyatt Langford's launch angle lately (21.9° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 16.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nathaniel Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle recently (30.1° over the past two weeks) is significantly better than his 16° seasonal angle. Checking in at the 89th percentile, Josh Smith has put up a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Jackson Merrill has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph. Jackson Merrill's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 15.9% on the season to 23.5% in the last week.

Derek Hill's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Derek Hill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.88 ft/sec this year, Derek Hill is very toolsy.

Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.6-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. In the past 14 days, Manny Machado's 55% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.7%. Manny Machado has put up a .274 batting average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's matchup. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 40% to 48%.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Jurickson Profar has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph average. Compared to last year, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 50.2% this season. Jurickson Profar has displayed strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 97th percentile with a 1.2 K/BB rate. Jurickson Profar has put up a .310 batting average this year, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Kyle Higashioka has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.1% rate last year to 16.1% this year. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.5% to 29%. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 29% on the season to 42.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games.