Houston @ Toronto Picks & Props
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HOU vs TOR Props
Mauricio Dubon Total Hits Props • Houston
Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Mauricio Dubon faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Toronto Blue Jays.
Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto
Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Bo Bichette will have a tough matchup in today's game. Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.4°, Bo Bichette has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) over the past two weeks. Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.5°) is considerably worse than his 7.8° angle last season.
Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston
Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Over the last 7 days, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston
Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Alex Bregman will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alex Bregman in today's matchup. Over the last week, Alex Bregman's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto
Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position in today's game.
Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston
Rogers Centre ranks as the #23 venue in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Berrios will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Altuve in today's game. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.332) provides evidence that Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side this year with his .354 actual wOBA.
Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto
The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage today. Daulton Varsho's launch angle this year (28.8°) is considerably better than his 20.3° mark last year.
Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.
Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today. Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto
Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have the upper hand today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kevin Kiermaier will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kevin Kiermaier has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last year's 87.4-mph figure.
Ernie Clement Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ernie Clement hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Ernie Clement will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Ernie Clement's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.2%.
Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston
Jeremy Pena's batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. Jeremy Pena has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph. In the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena's 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 46.2%.
George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Addison Barger Total Hits Props • Toronto
Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today's matchup. Addison Barger hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last week, Addison Barger's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 12.5%.
Joey Loperfido Total Hits Props • Houston
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Joey Loperfido will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Joey Loperfido hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Jon Singleton Total Hits Props • Houston
Jon Singleton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Jon Singleton hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Cesar Salazar Total Hits Props • Houston
The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. Cesar Salazar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 90.6-mph average.
Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto
Justin Turner is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today. Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Justin Turner's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.8%.
Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston
Jake Meyers's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Meyers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 6th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Rogers Centre. The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today. In the past 7 days, Jake Meyers's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 20%.
Trey Cabbage Total Hits Props • Houston
Trey Cabbage has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto
Davis Schneider has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.
HOU vs TOR Trends
Houston Trends
The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 26 games (+11.75 Units / 37% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+15.65 Units / 21% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.55 Units / 64% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 away games (+8.15 Units / 18% ROI)
The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 54% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 83 games (-23.30 Units / -26% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 41 away games (-14.10 Units / -28% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 72 games (-11.30 Units / -13% ROI)
The Houston Astros have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 35 of their last 72 games (-8.65 Units / -10% ROI)
Toronto Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.35 Units / 26% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 83 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 24% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 83 games (-22.85 Units / -23% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 67 games (-19.10 Units / -21% ROI)
The Toronto Blue Jays have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 63 games (-17.50 Units / -21% ROI)
HOU vs TOR Top User Picks
Houston Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | uradonkey | 5-5-0 | +25682 |
| 2 | MLBFan8848 | 6-4-0 | +19240 |
| 3 | vlkvlk2012 | 5-5-0 | +19170 |
| 4 | Enelra18 | 7-3-0 | +18580 |
| 5 | sleeper2239 | 6-4-0 | +17535 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 6-4-0 | +17160 |
| 7 | Midway28 | 6-4-0 | +16230 |
| 8 | DarthRaider27 | 4-6-0 | +16035 |
| 9 | ewatson15 | 7-3-0 | +15815 |
| 10 | mdterrrps | 7-3-0 | +13795 |
| All Astros Money Leaders | |||
Toronto Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | hackorama | 6-4-0 | +19495 |
| 2 | accxmass | 5-4-1 | +17505 |
| 3 | Midway28 | 5-4-1 | +15885 |
| 4 | CastlemontDB91 | 6-3-1 | +15740 |
| 5 | Rossi35 | 7-3-0 | +15250 |
| 6 | CitoGMoney | 3-6-1 | +14955 |
| 7 | Kowalabear1994 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 8 | rapa76 | 7-3-0 | +13985 |
| 9 | captty55 | 4-6-0 | +12990 |
| 10 | sailorman1965 | 8-2-0 | +12945 |
| All Blue Jays Money Leaders | |||