New York @ Washington Picks & Props
NYM vs WAS Picks
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NYM vs WAS Consensus Picks
70% picking NY Mets
Total PicksNYM 597, WAS 254
66% picking NY Mets vs Washington to go Over
Total PicksNYM 373, WAS 188
NYM vs WAS Props
Harold Ramírez Total Hits Props • Washington
This year, Harold Ramirez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Extreme groundball hitters like Harold Ramirez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson. Harold Ramirez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89-mph mark last year has decreased to 86.4-mph. Harold Ramirez's launch angle this season (-0.1°) is considerably lower than his 5.8° figure last year.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. CJ Abrams has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.
J.D. Martinez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. J.D. Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. J.D. Martinez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Pete Alonso Total Hits Props • NY Mets
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Pete Alonso's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.5-mph recently.
Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. In the last 7 days, Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 86.4 mph to 84.3 mph. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12.7% to 16.7%.
Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Brandon Nimmo has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Jacob Young will have an advantage in today's game. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jacob Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batters such as Keibert Ruiz with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz's launch angle this season (20.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 15.1° figure last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive ability to be a .294, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .057 difference between that figure and his actual .237 wOBA.
Mark Vientos Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Mark Vientos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Mark Vientos will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today. Mark Vientos has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.6% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the last two weeks. Mark Vientos has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 108.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Joey Meneses will have an edge in today's matchup. Joey Meneses has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. In the last week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 9.9%.
Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Mets
Harrison Bader is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Harrison Bader will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Harrison Bader has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 7.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week. Harrison Bader has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season's 88-mph mark.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Lane Thomas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Tyrone Taylor Total Hits Props • NY Mets
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge in today's game. In the past 7 days, Tyrone Taylor's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 23.1%. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tyrone Taylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph in recent games. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.317) implies that Tyrone Taylor has suffered from bad luck this year with his .282 actual wOBA.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Nick Senzel will have an advantage today. Nick Senzel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Nick Senzel's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 11.4% to 22%. In terms of his batting average, Nick Senzel has had some very poor luck this year. His .211 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.
Jose Iglesias Total Hits Props • NY Mets
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jose Iglesias will have an advantage in today's game.
Ildemaro Vargas Total Hits Props • Washington
Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate today. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against David Peterson. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. By putting up a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, Ildemaro Vargas has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.
NYM vs WAS Trends
New York Trends
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 32 away games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 55 games (+11.75 Units / 18% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.90 Units / 37% ROI)
The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 33 games (+8.65 Units / 21% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 74 games (-26.30 Units / -31% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 34 away games (-13.70 Units / -37% ROI)
The New York Mets have only covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 61 games (-11.60 Units / -14% ROI)
The New York Mets have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 34 away games (-11.50 Units / -28% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.23 Units / 11% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 75 games (+11.95 Units / 15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+7.40 Units / 19% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 77 games (+5.55 Units / 7% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-12.90 Units / -15% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 27 games at home (-12.15 Units / -37% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 33 games at home (-11.60 Units / -31% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 games (-9.95 Units / -69% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 12 games (-8.85 Units / -67% ROI)
NYM vs WAS Top User Picks
NY Mets Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jessestars | 5-4-1 | +19870 |
| 2 | F-Orrell | 4-5-1 | +17629 |
| 3 | tjansen70 | 7-2-1 | +17280 |
| 4 | FRANKYFUGAZI1 | 6-4-0 | +15550 |
| 5 | billdo | 3-5-2 | +15170 |
| 6 | BundiniBrown | 5-5-0 | +14785 |
| 7 | CigarSt22 | 4-6-0 | +14368 |
| 8 | salgundy | 5-4-1 | +14235 |
| 9 | dashow69 | 3-7-0 | +13880 |
| 10 | braustin1 | 5-5-0 | +13475 |
| All Mets Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||