Chicago @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for pitching of the day. Compared to his seasonal angle of 6.7°, Brice Turang has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.2°) over the past 14 days. Brice Turang's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (2.7°) is considerably lower than his 10.2° mark last year. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brice Turang's true offensive skill to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .040 gap between that figure and his actual .333 wOBA.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for pitching of the day. In the last 7 days, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%. Christian Yelich's launch angle of late (0.5° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 4.4° seasonal angle. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.278) suggests that Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year with his .318 actual batting average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the best for pitching of the day. Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today's matchup. William Contreras's launch angle recently (1.4° over the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 4.9° seasonal angle. William Contreras has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .291 BA is considerably higher than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Michael Busch will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Michael Busch's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.4-mph in recent games.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Andruw Monasterio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Andruw Monasterio has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last season to 15.6% this season. In the last 7 days, Andruw Monasterio's 80% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 34.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Dansby Swanson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dansby Swanson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark. Despite posting a .291 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has experienced some negative variance given the .037 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Over the past week, Christopher Morel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.1-mph over the course of the season to 102-mph recently. Christopher Morel's launch angle this year (15.1°) is quite a bit better than his 12° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.7% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 21.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Freddy Peralta in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Pete Crow-Armstrong's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Nico Hoerner has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 89.5-mph. Nico Hoerner has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .248 BA is deflated compared to his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jackson Chourio has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 92.7-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Jake Bauers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jake Bauers will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Bauers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 94.6-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Miguel Amaya has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 90.8-mph. Miguel Amaya has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .192 mark is a good deal lower than his .243 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 24.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Sal Frelick will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today's matchup.