Chicago @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Considering Jakob Junis's large platoon split, Michael Busch will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Over the last 7 days, Michael Busch's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 18.2%.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Andruw Monasterio will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Andruw Monasterio has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 14.8% this year. Andruw Monasterio has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.9-mph average to last year's 89.8-mph figure. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Andruw Monasterio has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .293 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .311.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Given Jakob Junis's large platoon split, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .233 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .297 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, William Contreras meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. In the last week, William Contreras's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%. Over the past two weeks, William Contreras's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-6.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 7.6°. As it relates to his batting average, William Contreras has been very fortunate this year. His .298 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .262.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jakob Junis... and even better, Junis has a large platoon split.

Jake Bauers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. This game is projected to have the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate (77%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As it relates to his batting average, Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck this year. His .198 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236. Christopher Morel has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 78th percentile with a 1.92 K/BB rate.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dansby Swanson's true offensive skill to be a .328, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .285 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .240 figure is a good deal lower than his .271 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Posting a 1.15 K/BB rate this year, Nico Hoerner has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 97th percentile.

Jackson Chourio's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Chourio will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jackson Chourio has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the past week.

In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Miguel Amaya has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.6-mph. In terms of his batting average, Miguel Amaya has had bad variance on his side this year. His .192 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Seiya Suzuki has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.6-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Cody Bellinger will hold the platoon advantage over Jakob Junis today... and the cherry on top, Junis has a large platoon split. Sporting a 1.94 K/BB rate this year, Cody Bellinger has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 78th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Sal Frelick is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge in today's game. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage today.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's game. Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 13th-best batter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. In the league, American Family Field's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Christian Yelich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.