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Atlanta @ St. Louis props

Busch Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ozzie Albies
O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Lance Lynn today. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Lance Lynn today. Ozzie Albies pulls many of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies in today's game.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Alec Burleson
A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Alec Burleson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Orlando Arcia
O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Gorman
N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Paul Goldschmidt
P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Out of every team today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Ramon Laureano
R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Sean Murphy
S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brendan Donovan
B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Brendan Donovan's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Jarred Kelenic
J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Marcell Ozuna
M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Matt Olson
M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Matt Olson will have an advantage today.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Willson Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Adam Duvall
A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°.

Brandon Crawford Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Brandon Crawford
B. Crawford
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

Brandon Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Schwellenbach throws from, Brandon Crawford will have an edge in today's matchup. Brandon Crawford hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brandon Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Matt Carpenter
M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Matt Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Schwellenbach in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the Atlanta Braves. Matt Carpenter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Forrest Wall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

Forrest Wall
F. Wall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Forrest Wall will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game.

Forrest Wall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 93°. Forrest Wall will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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