Washington @ Colorado Picks & Props

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Ildemaro Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Ildemaro Vargas's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph average last year has decreased to 86.1-mph. Ildemaro Vargas's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 86.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.7-mph in the last week.

Jesse Winker has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today. Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Jesse Winker has a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesse Winker in today's matchup. Jesse Winker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 10.3%.

Luis Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game. Batting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Luis Garcia will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Luis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Luis Garcia has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the past 14 days, Joey Meneses's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-3.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.4°. By putting up a .278 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Joey Meneses finds himself in the 16th percentile for offensive skills. Joey Meneses has posted a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 20th percentile.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lane Thomas in today's game. Ranking in the 18th percentile, Lane Thomas has posted a .253 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Kyle Freeland The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keibert Ruiz today.

Jake Irvin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brendan Rodgers today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Brendan Rodgers has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11% rate last season has dropped off to 4.2% this season. Brendan Rodgers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 8.9%. Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .303 figure is a fair amount higher than his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Freeland will hold the platoon advantage against CJ Abrams in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today's game. CJ Abrams's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 85-mph in the past 7 days. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes CJ Abrams has had positive variance on his side given the .024 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.

Jacob Young is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Young in today's game. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 8.8% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. By putting up a .281 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jacob Young is positioned in the 22nd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Brenton Doyle encounters a tough challenge today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brenton Doyle's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°. Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, putting up a .315 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .278 — a .037 difference.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. Nick Senzel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Nick Senzel has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past week. Nick Senzel's average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 87.4-mph average last year has fallen to 84.5-mph. Nick Senzel's average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 84.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 80.3-mph in the last two weeks.

Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Over the last 7 days, Ezequiel Tovar's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.7% down to 0%. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side this year. His .332 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285. Sporting an 8.33 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 1st percentile.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals. Hunter Goodman has exhibited weak plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile with a 6.49 K/BB rate. In notching a .171 batting average since the start of last season, Hunter Goodman finds himself in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Nolan Jones is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. LaVictor Lipscomb is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today's game. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the best among every team today. LaVictor Lipscomb will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.251) implies that LaVictor Lipscomb has been very fortunate this year with his .272 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jake Irvin in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game.

Jacob Stallings has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Stallings will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jake Cave will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for righty batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to better offense. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Alan Trejo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.