New York @ Chicago Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a disadvantage today. Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.9-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last 7 days. Nico Hoerner's launch angle recently (-1.8° in the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 9.5° seasonal angle. Nico Hoerner has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) over the last 14 days.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Harrison Bader pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.313) provides evidence that Harrison Bader has experienced some negative variance this year with his .292 actual wOBA.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Hitting from the same side that Tylor Megill throws from, Seiya Suzuki meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Starling Marte has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 92.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. In the past week, Mark Vientos's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.5% up to 23.1%.

Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days. Cody Bellinger's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 76.8-mph over the past week. In the past week, Cody Bellinger's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.2%. When it comes to his batting average, Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year. His .268 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

D.J. Stewart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 park in the league for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. D.J. Stewart will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Jameson Taillon will have the handedness advantage over J.D. Martinez today. J.D. Martinez has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear the league's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.D. Martinez today. Despite posting a .368 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes J.D. Martinez has experienced some positive variance given the .034 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Jameson Taillon In today's matchup, Francisco Lindor is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.5% rate (95th percentile). Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the past week, Francisco Lindor's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.1%.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Wrigley Field has the 10th-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for long-balls. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 92°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 14.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the New York Mets.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Francisco Alvarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.8°.

Wrigley Field grades out as the #10 stadium in MLB for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 17.3-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.