Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Anthony Volpe will have a disadvantage today. Anthony Volpe has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 84.9-mph over the past two weeks. Anthony Volpe's launch angle this year (5°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.1° figure last season.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Marcell Ozuna will not have the upper hand in today's game. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Yankee Stadium ranks as the #22 field in the league for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB are found in Yankee Stadium. Yankee Stadium's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Judge in today's game. Aaron Judge's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 101.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 99.6-mph.

Benjamin Rice will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Benjamin Rice will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Over the last week, Benjamin Rice has posted a 41.7° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Alex Verdugo will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alex Verdugo will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman in today's game. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week's worth of games, Jarred Kelenic's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 17.6%.

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Austin Wells will have an advantage today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Austin Wells will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .275 figure is considerably lower than his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Austin Wells is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.1% rate since the start of last season).

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Charlie Morton. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Oswaldo Cabrera will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Ramon Laureano has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% over the last week. Over the last 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph recently. Ramon Laureano's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 15.2% on the season to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games. Ramon Laureano has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .217 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .230 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. DJ LeMahieu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .252 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Giancarlo Stanton will hold that advantage today. Giancarlo Stanton has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 19.5% seasonal rate to 26.1% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Travis d'Arnaud has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. As it relates to his batting average, Travis d'Arnaud has experienced some negative variance this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .256. Travis d'Arnaud's 11.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) is in the 81st percentile this year. Travis d'Arnaud's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 81st percentile this year.

Extreme flyball bats like Adam Duvall are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past week, Adam Duvall's 50% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.318) provides evidence that Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year with his .249 actual wOBA.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Orlando Arcia's true offensive ability to be a .285, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 difference between that mark and his actual .255 wOBA.

Austin Riley projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 94.3-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Austin Riley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 43.8% on the season to 53.8% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Atlanta Braves. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today's game. Gleyber Torres has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .043 discrepancy.

Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Forrest Wall will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Since the start of last season, Forrest Wall's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 98th percentile at 99 mph.