Kansas City @ Texas Picks & Props

Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The 6th-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 ballpark in the league for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage over Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Garrett Hampson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph to 96.3-mph over the past week. Compared to last season, Garrett Hampson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13.9% to 23.8% this season. Sporting a .385 BABIP since the start of last season, Garrett Hampson has performed in the 97th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Extreme flyball bats like Marcus Semien tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 18.3% on the season to 24.3% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 11th-best hitter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's game... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today. Corey Seager has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .337 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brady Singer in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Singer has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 14 days, Travis Jankowski's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83.7-mph over the course of the season to 86.2-mph of late. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.274) implies that Travis Jankowski has been unlucky this year with his .247 actual wOBA. Posting a 1.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

Nick Loftin has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 2.9% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Over the past 7 days, Nick Loftin's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 83.8-mph over the course of the season to 86.1-mph in recent games. With a 1.6 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has demonstrated good plate discipline, placing in the 91st percentile. Checking in at the 88th percentile, Nick Loftin sits with a .273 batting average since the start of last season.

There has been a significant improvement in Nelson Velazquez's launch angle from last year's 14.3° to 18.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer in today's game... and even better, Singer has a large platoon split. Nathaniel Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage today. Over the last week, Wyatt Langford's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 17.6%. Wyatt Langford has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV. Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .284 figure is a good deal lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Vinnie Pasquantino will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.1-mph figure. Compared to his seasonal average of 15.7°, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.8° figure in the last two weeks.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 39% to 48.8%. In notching a .364 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Smith grades out in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Salvador Perez has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 8.8% rate last year to 13.9% this season. Salvador Perez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 27.3% over the past 7 days. In the last 7 days, Salvador Perez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.6%.

Kyle Isbel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup.

Hunter Renfroe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Leody Taveras will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brady Singer) in today's game. Leody Taveras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Leody Taveras has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week's worth of games. Leody Taveras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph mark. Leody Taveras's launch angle in recent games (19.6° in the last 14 days) is considerably better than his 13.9° seasonal mark.

Freddy Fermin has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Freddy Fermin sports a .301 batting average this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .322, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .036 deviation between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage in today's matchup. MJ Melendez has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.7-mph to 98.4-mph in the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.308) provides evidence that MJ Melendez has been unlucky this year with his .262 actual wOBA.