Atlanta @ New York Picks & Props

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Benjamin Rice will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarred Kelenic is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jarred Kelenic has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 91.4-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Matt Olson pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Alex Verdugo's batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Alex Verdugo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 85°. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Gleyber Torres will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Austin Riley projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Austin Riley is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Sean Murphy will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Sean Murphy has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. In the last week's worth of games, Ramon Laureano's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.5% up to 28.6%. Last season, Ramon Laureano had an average launch angle of 13.3° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 20.6°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, DJ LeMahieu will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Marcell Ozuna will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Rodon in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Oswaldo Cabrera will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Carlos Rodon. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Aaron Judge will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jahmai Jones has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Jahmai Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Given Chris Sale's large platoon split, Giancarlo Stanton will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Rodon throws from, Adam Duvall will have an edge today. The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .251 figure is quite a bit lower than his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Because of Chris Sale's large platoon split, Jose Trevino will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Atlanta Braves infield defense grades out as the 7th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jose Trevino will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Trevino's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 28.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 4th-hottest weather on the slate at 87°. Anthony Volpe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a large platoon split. Anthony Volpe has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.