New York @ Texas Picks & Props

The #1 field in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Corey Seager's speed has fallen off this year. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.17 ft/sec now.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Brandon Nimmo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .335. Brandon Nimmo has notched a .358 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Jeff McNeil will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil has been unlucky this year, compiling a .270 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .030 gap. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's skill is quite good, sporting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Francisco Lindor has compiled a .354 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor has an average exit velocity of 91.1 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 81st percentile. Francisco Lindor's 19.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in MLB: 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Marcus Semien grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season).

Travis Jankowski will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Severino in today's matchup. Travis Jankowski is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Travis Jankowski will hold that advantage today. Travis Jankowski has posted a .264 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today.

Starling Marte's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Starling Marte is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.453) provides evidence that Starling Marte has experienced some negative variance this year with his .330 actual wOBA. Checking in at the 80th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Starling Marte demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average. Posting a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Starling Marte finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Harrison Bader has compiled a .280 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Jonah Heim will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .323, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .035 deviation between that mark and his actual .288 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wyatt Langford will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wyatt Langford has had some very poor luck given the .037 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Based on Statcast metrics, Pete Alonso grades out in the 77th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343. Pete Alonso's 14.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Pete Alonso has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.7 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), checking in at the 94th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. J.D. Martinez has put up a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, J.D. Martinez's 17.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 99th percentile among his peers. J.D. Martinez's 93.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 98th percentile.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Leody Taveras's true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .034 deviation between that mark and his actual .265 wOBA. Leody Taveras has posted a .300 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Ezequiel Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Sporting a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ezequiel Duran is positioned in the 76th percentile for offensive ability. Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .280 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Francisco Alvarez's 12.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 86th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Francisco Alvarez has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), checking in at the 84th percentile.

Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 77th percentile since the start of last season. Mark Vientos's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game since the start of last season: 95th percentile.

The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew Knizner will hold that advantage in today's game.