Wrigley Field
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today's game.
Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Christopher Morel today. Christopher Morel grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (37.2% rate since the start of last season). Christopher Morel has notched a .207 BABIP this year, checking in at the 2nd percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Seiya Suzuki encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup.
Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will be challenged by the game's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. Since the start of last season, Nico Hoerner's 1.7% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers. Nico Hoerner's 87.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 5th percentile since the start of last season. Nico Hoerner and his 4.2° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 3rd percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.
Today, Heliot Ramos is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.5% rate (81st percentile). Heliot Ramos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has been lucky this year, putting up a .414 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .104 difference. Heliot Ramos grades out in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (5.7% rate since the start of last season).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Thairo Estrada today. Thairo Estrada's 4.8% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 19th percentile since the start of last season. Ranked in the 5th percentile, Thairo Estrada's average exit velocity of 85.8 mph ranks among the lowest in the game since the start of last season. Posting a 5.82 K/BB rate this year, Thairo Estrada has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 4th percentile.
Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Mike Yastrzemski's 19.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball: 94th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his good side against Logan Webb in this game.
Patrick Bailey is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 16.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.
Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Cody Bellinger has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.2 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), checking in at the 21st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Logan Webb throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an edge in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Wilmer Flores will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Wilmer Flores pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Nick Ahmed will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Nick Ahmed pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Nick Ahmed is in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Jorge Soler will have the handedness advantage over Justin Steele today. Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 6th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Austin Slater will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today.
The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Curt Casali will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's game.
The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance given the .060 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to more offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast calls for the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and David Bote will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Yan Gomes has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Michael Conforto has gone over 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.
