Tampa Bay @ Minnesota Picks & Props
TB vs MIN Picks
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TB vs MIN Consensus Picks
75% picking Minnesota
Total PicksTB 206, MIN 616
TB vs MIN Props
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Target Field. Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Yandy Diaz faces a tough challenge today. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Yandy Diaz's speed has dropped off this year. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.27 ft/sec now. Yandy Diaz and his 5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 4th percentile, among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season.
Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The 10th-deepest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Target Field. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Carlos Correa meets a tough challenge in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite posting a .370 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has had positive variance on his side given the .028 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342. Carlos Correa ranks in the 8th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.8% rate since the start of last season).
Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Royce Lewis meets a tough challenge in today's matchup. In today's matchup, Royce Lewis is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (79th percentile). Out of every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays. Royce Lewis's footspeed has dropped off this year. His 28.21 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.68 ft/sec now. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.253) may lead us to conclude that Royce Lewis has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .322 actual batting average.
Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Willi Castro will hold that advantage today.
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When estimating his BABIP talent, Amed Rosario is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.6-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 93rd percentile. Ranking in the 95th percentile, Jose Caballero sports a .357 BABIP this year.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Randy Arozarena's true offensive talent to be a .340, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .061 disparity between that mark and his actual .279 wOBA.
Austin Martin Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Austin Martin will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile with a 2.01 K/BB rate.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. In terms of his batting average, Jose Siri has had some very good luck this year. His .204 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .182. Jose Siri's 12.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 86th percentile since the start of last season.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (an advanced metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in baseball: 99th percentile. Checking in at the 87th percentile, Isaac Paredes sports a .355 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's game.
Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Carlos Santana has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.
Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Byron Buxton has been unlucky this year, notching a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .337 — a .037 deviation.
Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game. Ryan Jeffers's 11.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) grades out in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.
Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Max Kepler is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale in today's game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Jose Miranda Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Jose Miranda will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. By putting up a .340 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jose Miranda has performed in the 78th percentile. Jose Miranda has put up a .280 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota
Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting on the schedule today. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
TB vs MIN Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+13.15 Units / 22% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 63 games (+8.40 Units / 11% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.30 Units / 19% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.80 Units / 28% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 69 games (-34.65 Units / -41% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 50 games (-25.80 Units / -41% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 55 games (-25.60 Units / -36% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-17.15 Units / -21% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 72 games (-6.75 Units / -8% ROI)
Minnesota Trends
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+9.55 Units / 15% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.19 Units / 12% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.10 Units / 21% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-16.90 Units / -27% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 44 games (-12.95 Units / -25% ROI)
The Minnesota Twins have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 35 games (-10.30 Units / -27% ROI)
TB vs MIN Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Minnesota Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Midway28 | 7-3-0 | +18635 |
| 2 | jetfan4340 | 8-2-0 | +17385 |
| 3 | wickpk | 8-2-0 | +17345 |
| 4 | PMaeson | 6-4-0 | +16840 |
| 5 | EiffelTower | 7-3-0 | +16625 |
| 6 | swtknguy | 2-8-0 | +16515 |
| 7 | faustobone | 7-3-0 | +16100 |
| 8 | hobo | 4-6-0 | +15470 |
| 9 | capt5189 | 5-4-1 | +14360 |
| 10 | Chrismano | 6-4-0 | +14322 |
| All Twins Money Leaders | |||