Miami @ Washington Picks & Props

The #5 venue in the league for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. The Washington Nationals outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team today. Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. The standard deviation of Jake Burger's launch angle since the start of last season (29.9°) is in the 13th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP. By putting up a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Jake Burger finds himself in the 19th percentile.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Jesus Sanchez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jesus Sanchez's true offensive ability to be a .313, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .036 difference between that mark and his actual .277 wOBA.

Luis Garcia's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Luis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Tim Anderson is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Tim Anderson will have the handedness advantage over Mitchell Parker today. Tim Anderson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tim Anderson has been unlucky given the .079 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, LaVictor Lipscomb will have an edge in today's matchup. LaVictor Lipscomb has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Bryan De La Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Mitchell Parker in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryan De La Cruz has been very fortunate this year. His .310 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.

Jacob Young's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand today. Jacob Young has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Joey Meneses's batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Joey Meneses will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .233 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky given the .065 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298. Keibert Ruiz is in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Nick Senzel is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Nick Senzel will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Nick Senzel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have an edge in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Emmanuel Rivera has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .248 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .294. Emmanuel Rivera is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge in today's matchup. In notching a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Dane Myers is ranked in the 93rd percentile. Since the start of last season, Dane Myers's flyball exit velocity (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 91st percentile at 96.3 mph.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Batting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Nick Fortes will have an edge in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive skill to be a .284, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .091 disparity between that mark and his actual .193 wOBA.

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jesus Luzardo today. The Miami Marlins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams in action today. Ildemaro Vargas will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitchell Parker throws from, Otto Lopez will have the upper hand in today's game. Otto Lopez has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.36 ft/sec this year, Otto Lopez is notably quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°. Josh Bell has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Placing in the 83rd percentile, the hardest ball Josh Bell has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Eddie Rosario has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.