Tampa Bay @ Atlanta Picks & Props
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TB vs ATL Props
Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Zach Eflin throws from, Marcell Ozuna will not have the upper hand today. Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Marcell Ozuna's speed has decreased this year. His 26.37 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.1 ft/sec now.
Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF fences among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Zach Eflin will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley today. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team today. Checking in at the 14th percentile, Austin Riley has put up a .268 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Yandy Díaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest LF fences among all major league parks. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Hurston Waldrep will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Yandy Diaz's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.3 ft/sec currently.
Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Jose Caballero's 20.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in the game: 93rd percentile. Jose Caballero has put up a .356 BABIP this year, placing in the 94th percentile.
Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°.
Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Hurston Waldrep will hold the platoon advantage over Amed Rosario in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Amed Rosario in today's matchup.
Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Jose Siri's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Jose Siri has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .188 mark is a good deal higher than his .183 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Isaac Paredes's 22.1° launch angle (a reliable standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 99th percentile.
Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta
Jarred Kelenic's BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°.
Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Orlando Arcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.345) suggests that Orlando Arcia has experienced some negative variance this year with his .269 actual wOBA.
Richie Palacios Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Hitting from the opposite that Hurston Waldrep throws from, Richie Palacios will have an edge in today's game.
Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.
Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. The 5th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°.
Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Travis d'Arnaud will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Since the start of last season, Travis d'Arnaud has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is among the best in MLB at the 76th percentile.
Ben Rortvedt Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
The #4 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Ben Rortvedt will have the handedness advantage over Hurston Waldrep in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta
The #4 park in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the highest temperatures of the day at 92°. Adam Duvall will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Adam Duvall has been unlucky this year, putting up a .265 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .038 discrepancy.
Josh Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay
Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
TB vs ATL Trends
Tampa Bay Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 54 games (+20.10 Units / 32% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 62 games (+9.60 Units / 13% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+2.80 Units / 22% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 68 games (-35.85 Units / -43% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 49 games (-26.80 Units / -44% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 54 games (-26.60 Units / -38% ROI)
The Tampa Bay Rays have only hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-18.15 Units / -23% ROI)
Atlanta Trends
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 62 games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+7.59 Units / 26% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+3.55 Units / 12% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+0.85 Units / 7% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 56 games (-25.15 Units / -41% ROI)
The Atlanta Braves have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 23 games (-11.00 Units / -42% ROI)
TB vs ATL Top User Picks
Tampa Bay Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | funaki | 7-3-0 | +19280 |
| 2 | pokersquirrel | 2-7-1 | +17755 |
| 3 | kowalabear | 8-2-0 | +15775 |
| 4 | vladislav1968 | 5-4-1 | +15330 |
| 5 | kenpitch | 5-4-1 | +13015 |
| 6 | Smmiou07 | 7-2-1 | +12845 |
| 7 | adgadg222 | 5-4-1 | +12550 |
| 8 | Mexicali72 | 4-6-0 | +11420 |
| 9 | brandydump1 | 6-4-0 | +11345 |
| 10 | mm76ers | 5-5-0 | +11325 |
| All Rays Money Leaders | |||
Atlanta Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dotlife162 | 3-7-0 | +19420 |
| 2 | nobrainer | 9-1-0 | +15395 |
| 3 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 5-5-0 | +12920 |
| 4 | CigarSt22 | 6-4-0 | +11461 |
| 5 | parking | 7-2-1 | +11165 |
| 6 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +10845 |
| 7 | tenandsix | 5-5-0 | +10186 |
| 8 | Ace_Of_Spades | 4-6-0 | +9730 |
| 9 | Whiteyr | 6-4-0 | +9475 |
| 10 | vlkvlk2012 | 3-7-0 | +9235 |
| All Braves Money Leaders | |||