Texas @ Seattle Picks & Props

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. The weather forecast projects the most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Given Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Julio Rodriguez will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Julio Rodriguez is in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.7% rate since the start of last season).

J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Because of Dane Dunning's large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.P. Crawford can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Luke Raley ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Dane Dunning today... and even better, Dunning has a large platoon split. Luke Raley may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wyatt Langford has been unlucky given the .036 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.74 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is quite athletic.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Marcus Semien ranks in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21.2% rate since the start of last season). Marcus Semien has exhibited good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.64 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Tyler Locklear will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Tyler Locklear has been hot lately, putting up a .338 wOBA in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Nathaniel Lowe will have an advantage today. Nathaniel Lowe may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Nathaniel Lowe has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Leody Taveras grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .345. Posting a .300 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Leody Taveras finds himself in the 97th percentile.

Travis Jankowski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Travis Jankowski is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Travis Jankowski has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, Travis Jankowski grades out in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .264. As it relates to plate discipline, Travis Jankowski's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 93rd percentile.

Andrew Knizner has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

Mitch Haniger is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Mitch Haniger will hold that advantage in today's game. Despite posting a .274 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mitch Haniger has had bad variance on his side given the .039 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .313. Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Rojas is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Given Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Josh Rojas will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Josh Rojas is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Josh Rojas has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today.

T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Considering Dane Dunning's large platoon split, Dominic Canzone will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Canzone can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's game. Dominic Canzone has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 rate is a good deal lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dylan Moore ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Posting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Dylan Moore finds himself in the 86th percentile for offensive ability. Dylan Moore's 98-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 96th percentile since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Despite posting a .293 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .030 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323. By putting up a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 87th percentile for offensive skills.

Cal Raleigh is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 80th percentile, the hardest ball Cal Raleigh has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.7 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-smallest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally good for HRs. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Duran is in the 76th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342. Sporting a .280 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Ezequiel Duran is positioned in the 83rd percentile. Ranking in the 92nd percentile, the hardest ball Ezequiel Duran has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Ryan Bliss has gone over 0.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Josh H. Smith has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.