Kansas City @ Los Angeles Picks & Props
KC vs LAD Picks
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KC vs LAD Consensus Picks
62% picking LA Dodgers
Total PicksKC 276, LAD 454
KC vs LAD Props
Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Nelson Velazquez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Based on Statcast data, Nelson Velazquez is in the 86th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .346.
Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Nick Loftin's quickness has increased this year. His 27.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.82 ft/sec now. Sporting a 1.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.
Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Given Brady Singer's large platoon split, Cavan Biggio will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Cavan Biggio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Cavan Biggio will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (23% rate since the start of last season).
Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Freddy Fermin has compiled a .288 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Freddy Fermin is in the 92nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (50% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Freddy Fermin's launch angle since the start of last season (26.1°) is in the 78th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of base hits.
Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Hampson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Garrett Hampson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Garrett Hampson is in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.7% rate since the start of last season). Ranking in the 97th percentile, Garrett Hampson sports a .393 BABIP since the start of last season.
Gavin Lux Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Gavin Lux will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Gavin Lux will hold that advantage in today's matchup. As it relates to his batting average, Gavin Lux has had bad variance on his side this year. His .214 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Salvador Perez's quickness has gotten better this year. His 24.24 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.74 ft/sec now.
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Using Statcast metrics, Bobby Witt Jr. ranks in the 98th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .307. Since the start of last season, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's game.
Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batters such as Andy Pages with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brady Singer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Andy Pages will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 85th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year, Andy Pages is very quick.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Maikel Garcia has compiled a .289 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Ranked in the 90th percentile, Maikel Garcia has one of the highest average exit velocities in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (91.8-mph).
Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Brady Singer will have the handedness advantage against Mookie Betts in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Singer's large platoon split.
Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 14th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Teoscar Hernandez has been very fortunate this year with his .259 actual batting average.
Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
This season, there has been a decline in Freddie Freeman's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.69 ft/sec last year to 26.11 ft/sec currently.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .372 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jason Heyward Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Jason Heyward will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Jason Heyward will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jason Heyward's 15.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in MLB: 76th percentile. Jason Heyward has put up a .341 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today's matchup. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance this year. His .237 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .372. MJ Melendez's 11.6% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (87% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The 9th-shallowest CF dimensions among all parks are found in Dodger Stadium. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Tyler Glasnow throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today. By putting up a .268 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Adam Frazier is positioned in the 75th percentile.
Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
KC vs LAD Trends
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+10.44 Units / 10% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+7.70 Units / 14% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 60% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 25 games (-10.85 Units / -39% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 53 games (-6.20 Units / -10% ROI)
Los Angeles Trends
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 48 games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games at home (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 18% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.75 Units / 6% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 29 games at home (-14.85 Units / -43% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 58 games (-14.80 Units / -13% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 48 games (-10.60 Units / -20% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 28 games (-8.65 Units / -26% ROI)
The Los Angeles Dodgers have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 33 games at home (-5.50 Units / -14% ROI)
KC vs LAD Top User Picks
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||
LA Dodgers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | boedad | 5-4-1 | +17865 |
| 2 | mikers | 6-4-0 | +17205 |
| 3 | OMREBEL02 | 4-5-1 | +16165 |
| 4 | BeeRAD | 7-2-1 | +15700 |
| 5 | glen2003 | 5-4-1 | +15625 |
| 6 | katscore | 8-2-0 | +14665 |
| 7 | Alexandr1966 | 4-5-1 | +14540 |
| 8 | cjrissgoodin | 7-3-0 | +14010 |
| 9 | lusvegasluva | 2-8-0 | +13260 |
| 10 | vitom | 6-4-0 | +12480 |
| All Dodgers Money Leaders | |||