Miami @ Washington Picks & Props
MIA vs WAS Picks
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MIA vs WAS Consensus Picks
77% picking Washington
Total PicksMIA 139, WAS 453
MIA vs WAS Props
Jesse Winker Total Hits Props • Washington
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Luzardo will have the handedness advantage over Jesse Winker in today's matchup.
Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jacob Young has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage today.
CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington
CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.
Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Jesus Luzardo Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage today.
Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Washington
Eddie Rosario is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the same side that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Eddie Rosario encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.
Luis Garcia Jr. Total Hits Props • Washington
Luis Garcia's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Among all major league stadiums, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 10th-shallowest. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jesus Luzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Garcia today. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.
Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Anderson as the 3rd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Tim Anderson will have an advantage in today's game. Tim Anderson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tim Anderson's true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .079 disparity between that figure and his actual .210 wOBA.
Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Washington
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Nick Senzel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Senzel's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.61 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 87th percentile.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington
Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Lane Thomas's true offensive skill to be a .314, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .037 deviation between that figure and his actual .277 wOBA.
Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Dane Myers will have an edge today. Using Statcast metrics, Dane Myers ranks in the 93rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .289. Dane Myers's 96.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to measure power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.
Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, notching a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .059 gap.
Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Joey Meneses has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.
Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Emmanuel Rivera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Emmanuel Rivera has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.294) provides evidence that Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .248 actual batting average. Emmanuel Rivera is in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (48.8% rate since the start of last season).
Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami
The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes's true offensive ability to be a .284, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .091 difference between that mark and his actual .193 wOBA.
Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage in today's game. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced some positive variance this year. His .310 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Josh Bell has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 114 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), placing in the 83rd percentile.
Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Otto Lopez will have an edge today. Otto Lopez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
MIA vs WAS Trends
Miami Trends
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 28 away games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games (+8.25 Units / 34% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.00 Units / 10% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 63 games (-20.00 Units / -28% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 68 games (-19.40 Units / -26% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 50 games (-13.35 Units / -22% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 30 away games (-11.70 Units / -36% ROI)
The Miami Marlins have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 45 games (-11.30 Units / -23% ROI)
Washington Trends
The Washington Nationals have hit the Run Line in 34 of their last 55 games (+11.20 Units / 16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 60 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 60 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 62 games (+5.35 Units / 8% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 64 games (-11.15 Units / -16% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 21 games at home (-9.60 Units / -38% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 27 games at home (-6.95 Units / -22% ROI)
The Washington Nationals have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 28 games at home (-3.30 Units / -10% ROI)
MIA vs WAS Top User Picks
Miami Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MatroxSD | 7-3-0 | +33200 |
| 2 | JayAcosta20 | 5-5-0 | +28490 |
| 3 | chuluckus | 3-6-1 | +28010 |
| 4 | Alexandr1966 | 6-4-0 | +26360 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 6-3-1 | +23335 |
| 6 | ewatson15 | 6-4-0 | +22000 |
| 7 | Forkball1 | 7-3-0 | +20245 |
| 8 | purple_stars | 6-4-0 | +16950 |
| 9 | dogeatdog | 6-4-0 | +16115 |
| 10 | jwwong | 8-2-0 | +16110 |
| All Marlins Money Leaders | |||
Washington Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldominicano33 | 7-3-0 | +20570 |
| 2 | uradonkey | 6-4-0 | +18804 |
| 3 | ThorsHammer | 7-3-0 | +16400 |
| 4 | sleeper2239 | 5-5-0 | +15480 |
| 5 | 53Defense | 5-5-0 | +13840 |
| 6 | purple_stars | 3-7-0 | +12385 |
| 7 | bluorch158 | 4-6-0 | +12035 |
| 8 | marlis | 4-6-0 | +10605 |
| 9 | albertobs | 7-3-0 | +10440 |
| 10 | dogeatdog | 7-3-0 | +10089 |
| All Nationals Money Leaders | |||