LIVE bottom 2nd Jul 22
DET 4 -132 o7.0
CLE 0 +121 u7.0
LIVE bottom 2nd Jul 22
NYM 2 -140 o8.5
MIA 1 +129 u8.5
LIVE bottom 2nd Jul 22
STL 0 +107 o8.0
PIT 0 -116 u8.0
CIN +125 o8.0
ATL -135 u8.0
PHI -109 o8.5
MIN +101 u8.5
CHW +158 o8.5
TEX -173 u8.5
MIL -114 o8.5
CHC +106 u8.5
AZ +134 o8.0
KC -146 u8.0
BOS -154 o10.0
COL +141 u10.0
HOU -137 o8.5
OAK +126 u8.5
LAA +141 o7.0
SEA -153 u7.0
SF +110 o8.5
LAD -119 u8.5
Final Jul 22
TB 1 +148 o8.5
NYY 9 -161 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, MASN

Atlanta @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarred Kelenic Total Hits Props • Atlanta

J. Kelenic
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Jarred Kelenic

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jarred Kelenic hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

In today's game, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile). Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Marcell Ozuna's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.37 ft/sec last year to 25.1 ft/sec currently. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, putting up a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .077 deviation.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In today's game, Marcell Ozuna is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile). Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Marcell Ozuna's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.37 ft/sec last year to 25.1 ft/sec currently. Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, putting up a .417 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .077 deviation.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a tough matchup in today's matchup.

Jordan Westburg Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Westburg
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums. Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has been lucky this year, compiling a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .027 difference.

Jordan Westburg

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums. Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jordan Westburg faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jordan Westburg has been lucky this year, compiling a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .027 difference.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. By putting up a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Austin Riley grades out in the 20th percentile. Austin Riley has notched a .220 batting average this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Austin Riley

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. By putting up a .275 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Austin Riley grades out in the 20th percentile. Austin Riley has notched a .220 batting average this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Matt Olson ranks as the 15th-best hitter in baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies today. Ozzie Albies's speed has declined this season. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.92 ft/sec now. Ozzie Albies has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), ranking in the 2nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ozzie Albies today. Ozzie Albies's speed has declined this season. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.92 ft/sec now. Ozzie Albies has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a core talent for batting average), ranking in the 2nd percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's matchup.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's game. Cedric Mullins II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's game. Cedric Mullins II hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has had some very poor luck this year. His .268 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an edge in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Orlando Arcia has had some very poor luck this year. His .268 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .346.

Kyle Stowers Total Hits Props • Baltimore

K. Stowers
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Stowers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Stowers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game. Kyle Stowers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The shallowest right field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Colton Cowser Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Cowser
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Colton Cowser

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Anthony Santander pulls many of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Anthony Santander will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Travis d'Arnaud Total Hits Props • Atlanta

T. d'Arnaud
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Travis d'Arnaud will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Travis d'Arnaud

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Travis d'Arnaud will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin in today's matchup. Travis d'Arnaud has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best venue in the game for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.

Michael Harris II Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Harris II
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Cole Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II today. This season, there has been a decline in Michael Harris II's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.78 ft/sec last year to 28.01 ft/sec currently. Michael Harris II has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.3° figure is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (5th percentile). Michael Harris II has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Michael Harris II

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Cole Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Harris II today. This season, there has been a decline in Michael Harris II's speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.78 ft/sec last year to 28.01 ft/sec currently. Michael Harris II has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.3° figure is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (5th percentile). Michael Harris II has notched a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268. Jorge Mateo has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jorge Mateo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Mateo has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268. Jorge Mateo has really hit the cover off the baseball. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (109.2 mph) rank him among MLB's best: in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adam Duvall's true offensive skill to be a .303, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .262 wOBA.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adam Duvall will have the handedness advantage over Cole Irvin today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 10th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adam Duvall's true offensive skill to be a .303, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .041 deviation between that figure and his actual .262 wOBA.

Brian Anderson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

B. Anderson
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Brian Anderson will have an advantage today. Brian Anderson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Placing in the 90th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Brian Anderson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

Brian Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of the day at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 4th-best of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cole Irvin throws from, Brian Anderson will have an advantage today. Brian Anderson has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Placing in the 90th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Brian Anderson demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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