New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the game for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor's footspeed has fallen off this year. His 28.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.65 ft/sec now. Francisco Lindor has posted a .251 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Harrison Bader in today's game... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Posting a .334 BABIP this year, Harrison Bader grades out in the 81st percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Joey Gallo usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Gallo will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Brandon Nimmo may have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage over Mark Vientos in today's matchup... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split. Since the start of last season, Mark Vientos's 10.7% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 77th percentile among his peers. Mark Vientos's 92.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in MLB since the start of last season: 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Starling Marte is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Starling Marte will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game. Starling Marte has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. J.D. Martinez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, J.D. Martinez will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game. J.D. Martinez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Meneses in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Joey Meneses is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Joey Meneses will have an advantage in today's game. Joey Meneses has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .184 figure is quite a bit lower than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Williams has a large platoon split. Jeff McNeil is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

Pete Alonso projects as the 19th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Pete Alonso will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Pete Alonso has notched a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 77th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Among all parks, Nationals Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Jesse Winker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jesse Winker's footspeed has improved this year. His 23.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.77 ft/sec now.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the slate today at 82°. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Drew Millas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, Drew Millas grades out in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .361. Based on Statcast data, Drew Millas ranks in the 98th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .318.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Jose Iglesias will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Iglesias generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like DJ Herz.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Given Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Tomas Nido will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game. Extreme flyball batters like Tomas Nido generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like DJ Herz.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz's true offensive skill to be a .299, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .060 disparity between that mark and his actual .239 wOBA. Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 75th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.3% rate since the start of last season).

Nick Senzel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Nick Senzel will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. Jacob Young will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today.

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-highest temperatures on the slate today at 81°. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ildemaro Vargas will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against David Peterson in this game. The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team today. Ildemaro Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.