Cincinnati @ Chicago Picks & Props
CIN vs CHC Picks
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CIN vs CHC Consensus Picks
68% picking Cincinnati vs Chi. Cubs to go Over
Total PicksCIN 264, CHC 124
CIN vs CHC Props
Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage today. Nico Hoerner has put up a .285 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Jonathan India will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Steele in today's game. Using Statcast data, Jonathan India ranks in the 76th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .342.
Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Hunter Greene. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Mike Tauchman will have an advantage in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today. Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his strong side against Justin Steele in this game. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jeimer Candelario ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.8% rate since the start of last season).
Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Elly De La Cruz has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 119.2 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 99th percentile.
Santiago Espinal Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Santiago Espinal's true offensive ability to be a .291, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .043 gap between that figure and his actual .248 wOBA.
Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Luke Maile will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele in today's matchup. Luke Maile pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Luke Maile has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .216 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242. Luke Maile's 10.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.
Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 10th-shallowest among all major league parks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Martini's true offensive talent to be a .306, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .054 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .252 wOBA. Posting a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nick Martini is positioned in the 77th percentile for offensive ability.
Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Spencer Steer will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele today. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage today.
TJ Friedl Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. By putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, T.J. Friedl has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, placing in the 76th percentile. T.J. Friedl has notched a .266 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile.
Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage against Justin Steele in today's game. Tyler Stephenson's 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.
Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.
Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs
The 7th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league are found in Wrigley Field. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today. Miguel Amaya will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Amaya's true offensive skill to be a .289, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .046 disparity between that figure and his actual .243 wOBA.
Jacob Hurtubise Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. HRs are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Wrigley Field has the 10th-shallowest among all major league parks.
Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati
Stuart Fairchild has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Stuart Fairchild will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Steele today. Stuart Fairchild pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Stuart Fairchild is remarkably athletic, checking in at the 93rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.12 ft/sec this year.
CIN vs CHC Trends
Cincinnati Trends
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.60 Units / 21% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.75 Units / 21% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.60 Units / 16% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+5.75 Units / 9% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 48% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 42 games (-15.75 Units / -32% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 55 games (-14.80 Units / -23% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 41 games (-13.95 Units / -31% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 54 games (-13.10 Units / -21% ROI)
The Cincinnati Reds have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 54 games (-11.85 Units / -18% ROI)
Chicago Trends
The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 46 games (+7.00 Units / 14% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games at home (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 29 games (-18.70 Units / -47% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 46 games (-17.25 Units / -31% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 47 games (-14.90 Units / -27% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 48 games (-12.00 Units / -23% ROI)
The Chicago Cubs have only covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 14 games (-10.40 Units / -62% ROI)
CIN vs CHC Top User Picks
Cincinnati Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MLBFan8848 | 4-6-0 | +16975 |
| 2 | samua | 4-6-0 | +16620 |
| 3 | theSleeper | 5-5-0 | +15590 |
| 4 | sprtnt1 | 7-3-0 | +14035 |
| 5 | northlv6238 | 8-1-1 | +13865 |
| 6 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13531 |
| 7 | ASDFJKL123 | 5-4-1 | +13198 |
| 8 | stranger28 | 8-2-0 | +13139 |
| 9 | IronCity1 | 5-4-1 | +13060 |
| 10 | FAMCOLLECTOR | 6-4-0 | +12725 |
| All Reds Money Leaders | |||
Chi. Cubs Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | nbahoops | 8-1-1 | +25230 |
| 2 | unique11 | 7-2-1 | +19730 |
| 3 | fleterod | 6-3-1 | +18835 |
| 4 | J_T | 6-4-0 | +17030 |
| 5 | 2YELLOWDOGS | 5-4-1 | +16680 |
| 6 | HOLLANDANDITALY | 7-3-0 | +16225 |
| 7 | teslaxyz | 3-6-1 | +15740 |
| 8 | witt297 | 6-3-1 | +15460 |
| 9 | ggtra333 | 8-1-1 | +15325 |
| 10 | DoctorNo | 5-4-1 | +15070 |
| All Cubs Money Leaders | |||