Los Angeles @ Seattle Picks & Props

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the worst out of every team today. Jo Adell's 100.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 99th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Logan O'Hoppe has compiled a .357 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 91st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Logan O'Hoppe's 15.3% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.

J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge today. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.247) may lead us to conclude that J.P. Crawford has suffered from bad luck this year with his .208 actual batting average.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Taylor Ward is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Taylor Ward has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Since the start of last season, Taylor Ward has an average exit velocity of 90.6 mph, which is among the best in Major League Baseball at the 76th percentile.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Mickey Moniak will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo in today's matchup... and even better, Woo has a huge platoon split. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Seattle's 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Mickey Moniak, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, compiling a .289 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .063 difference.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dylan Moore ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dylan Moore pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Dylan Moore tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Soriano. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Dylan Moore has been hot lately, tallying a .349 wOBA over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Considering Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Nolan Schanuel will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Because of Bryan Woo's huge platoon split, Matt Thaiss will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Matt Thaiss has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.316) implies that Matt Thaiss has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .294 actual wOBA. Matt Thaiss's 10.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Luke Raley's 13.2% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power) is in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Zach Neto and his 18.9° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 87th percentile, among the highest in baseball since the start of last season.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Mitch Haniger ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Mitch Haniger will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mitch Haniger's true offensive skill to be a .314, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .038 gap between that mark and his actual .276 wOBA. Since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's 11.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.

Kevin Pillar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Kevin Pillar pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Over the last two weeks, Kevin Pillar has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .431. Sporting a .266 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kevin Pillar grades out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Luis Rengifo pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Luis Rengifo has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .381 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Josh Rojas is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Rojas has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Placing in the 76th percentile, Josh Rojas has put up a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Willie Calhoun is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Willie Calhoun will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan Woo today... and even more favorably, Woo has a huge platoon split. Willie Calhoun pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today. Willie Calhoun's 90.7-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the majors since the start of last season: 82nd percentile.

Dominic Canzone is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in MLB. Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage today. Dominic Canzone will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. In terms of his batting average, Dominic Canzone has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .212 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .284.

Luis Guillorme will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryan Woo today... and moreover, Woo has a huge platoon split. Luis Guillorme has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jose Soriano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today. Cal Raleigh's 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 85th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyren Paris has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.